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Lucko vs Ponikve

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Lucko Logo

Lucko

2 - 1
FT
Ponikve Logo

Ponikve

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lucko in this 3. HNL Center matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lucko.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Lucko
20%
Draws
42%
Ponikve
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ponikve

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Ponikve haven't matched Lucko's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Lucko a 38% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. HNL Center form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Lucko Clean Sheet 16%
Ponikve Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lucko Ponikve
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.17 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2022 3. HNL Center
Lucko vs Ponikve
2:1
Sep 25, 2021 3. HNL Center
Ponikve vs Lucko
0:1
May 29, 2021 3. HNL Center
Lucko vs Ponikve
0:1
Nov 14, 2020 3. HNL Center
Ponikve vs Lucko
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lucko 48 / 100
Ponikve 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lucko Ponikve

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lucko Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lucko scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Ponikve has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Lucko stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lucko VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lucko

(Home)
29 Aug
Dragovoljac
0 : 3
Lucko
22 Aug
Lucko
1 : 1
Jarun
08 Aug
Karlovac
2 : 1
Lucko
01 Aug
Lucko
1 : 1
Segesta
30 May
Croatia Dakovo
1 : 2
Lucko
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Ponikve

(Away)
27 Sept
Ponikve
1 : 4
Din. Zagreb
30 Aug
Bilogora
0 : 2
Ponikve
22 Mar
Ponikve
0 : 1
Rudes
28 May
Ravnice
1 : 2
Ponikve
21 May
Ponikve
2 : 0
Segesta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)