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Lucko vs Vrbovec

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Lucko Logo

Lucko

4 - 0
FT
Vrbovec Logo

Vrbovec

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lucko in this 3. HNL Center matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lucko.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Lucko
30%
Draws
41%
Vrbovec
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vrbovec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lucko lately — more wins on the board than Vrbovec.
  • Lucko are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular 3. HNL Center form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lucko have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Lucko Clean Sheet 10%
Vrbovec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lucko Vrbovec
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.39 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 3. HNL Center
Lucko vs Vrbovec
4:0
Oct 9, 2021 3. HNL Center
Vrbovec vs Lucko
1:4
May 11, 2021 3. HNL Center
Lucko vs Vrbovec
2:3
Oct 17, 2020 3. HNL Center
Vrbovec vs Lucko
2:3
Jan 31, 2018 Club Friendly
Lucko vs Vrbovec
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lucko 65 / 100
Vrbovec 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lucko Vrbovec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lucko Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vrbovec has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Lucko found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (41 games).

Recent resilience: Lucko stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lucko VS Vrbovec
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Lucko

(Home)
18 Sept
Lucko
0 : 1
Dugo Selo
11 Sept
Uljanik Pula
2 : 2
Lucko
04 Sept
Lucko
0 : 1
Solin
29 Aug
Dragovoljac
0 : 3
Lucko
22 Aug
Lucko
1 : 1
Jarun
Page 1 of 9

Vrbovec

(Away)
16 Sept
Vrbovec
0 : 6
Rijeka
26 Aug
Vrbovec
4 : 1
Daruvar
28 May
Kurilovec
3 : 1
Vrbovec
21 May
Vrbovec
1 : 1
Gaj Mace
18 May
Vrbovec
4 : 1
Tresnjevka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)