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Lucko vs Zagora

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lucko host Zagora in the Druga NL. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Zagora have shipped 1.97 goals a game lately, while Lucko have conceded 1.55 and scored 1.1. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.81 - 1.94) back Zagora to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Lucko
35%
Draws
35%
Zagora
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Zagora carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Lucko's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Lucko Clean Sheet 10%
Zagora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lucko Zagora
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lucko 40 / 100
Zagora 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lucko Zagora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lucko found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Zagora's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Lucko remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Zagora's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lucko VS Zagora
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lucko

(Home)
18 Sept
Lucko
0 : 1
Dugo Selo
11 Sept
Uljanik Pula
2 : 2
Lucko
04 Sept
Lucko
0 : 1
Solin
29 Aug
Dragovoljac
0 : 3
Lucko
22 Aug
Lucko
1 : 1
Jarun
Page 1 of 6

Zagora

(Away)
19 Sept
Zagora
5 : 0
Uljanik Pula
12 Sept
Solin
1 : 1
Zagora
09 Sept
Zagora
0 : 4
Varazdin
05 Sept
Zagora
1 : 1
Dragovoljac
29 Aug
Jarun
4 : 4
Zagora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bjelovar 5 4 0 1 15:8 12
2 Trnje 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
3 Uljanik Pula 5 3 1 1 11:10 10
4 Uskok Klis 5 3 0 2 12:7 9
5 Jarun 5 1 4 0 11:10 7
6 NK Inker Zapresic 5 2 1 2 9:8 7
7 Radnik Krizevci 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
8 Grobnican 5 2 1 2 8:10 7
9 Dragovoljac 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
10 Dugo Selo 5 2 1 2 4:6 7
11 Zagora 5 1 3 1 14:11 6
12 Lucko 5 1 2 2 6:5 5
13 Solin 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
14 Slavonija Pozega 5 1 1 3 8:10 4
15 NK Koprivnica 5 1 1 3 8:14 4
16 Varteks Varazdin (2011) 5 1 0 4 3:11 3
Promotion - Prva NL 2027/2028 (Main)