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Lucksta IF vs Algarna-Harnosand

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Nuur H.
60' Event
Gibrill During A.
72' Event
Bel Mekki Z.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland 2024 game between Lucksta IF and Algarna-Harnosand finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lucksta IF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Lucksta IF
15%
Draws
0%
Algarna-Harnosand
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lucksta IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lucksta IF come out ahead of Algarna-Harnosand on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Lucksta IF taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Lucksta IF Clean Sheet 20%
Algarna-Harnosand Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lucksta IF Algarna-Harnosand
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 13 2
Draws 3 4
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 1.94 1.36
Goals Conceded 2.16 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Algarna-Harnosand vs Lucksta IF
0:4
Jun 19, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Lucksta IF vs Algarna-Harnosand
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lucksta IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Nuur H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gibrill During A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Algarna-Harnosand Compare

Top Goalscorer Bel Mekki Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lucksta IF 85 / 100
Algarna-Harnosand 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lucksta IF Algarna-Harnosand

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lucksta IF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lucksta IF scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Algarna-Harnosand let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Algarna-Harnosand's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lucksta IF VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lucksta IF

(Home)
22 Aug
Taftea IK
4 : 1
Lucksta IF
16 Aug
IFK Ostersund
1 : 0
Lucksta IF
12 Aug
Lucksta IF
1 : 3
Kubikenborgs
08 Aug
Skelleftea
3 : 0
Lucksta IF
01 Aug
Lucksta IF
3 : 0
Boden
Page 1 of 7

Algarna-Harnosand

(Away)
19 Oct
Umea FF
4 : 0
Algarna-Harnosand
12 Oct
Algarna-Harnosand
0 : 3
Boden
06 Oct
Gottne IF
7 : 2
Algarna-Harnosand
28 Sept
Algarna-Harnosand
1 : 3
IFK Lulea
21 Sept
Algarna-Harnosand
0 : 3
Skelleftea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Umea FF 26 21 3 2 86:19 66
2 Boden 26 21 3 2 75:24 66
3 Bergnasets AIK 26 16 2 8 53:46 50
4 Skelleftea 26 14 5 7 54:32 47
5 IFK Ostersund 26 13 5 8 50:35 44
6 Ytterhogdal 26 13 5 8 44:36 44
7 IFK Lulea 26 11 7 8 40:41 40
8 Gottne IF 26 10 6 10 44:37 36
9 Umea FC Akademi 26 8 3 15 40:62 27
10 Kiruna 26 7 5 14 23:49 26
11 Lucksta IF 26 7 4 15 43:62 25
12 Taftea IK 26 7 3 16 38:56 24
13 Froso IF 26 4 2 20 33:78 14
14 Algarna-Harnosand 26 2 3 21 34:80 9
15 Sandvik 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Relegation)