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Lucksta IF vs Bergnasets AIK

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Johansson J.
58' Event
Buzuku G.
62' Event
Marklund J.

AI Match Summary

Lucksta IF in this Division 2 - Norrland 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lucksta IF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lucksta IF
20%
Draws
40%
Bergnasets AIK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lucksta IF lately — more wins on the board than Bergnasets AIK.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Lucksta IF Clean Sheet 12%
Bergnasets AIK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lucksta IF Bergnasets AIK
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.83 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.3 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Bergnasets AIK vs Lucksta IF
1:2
Aug 9, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Lucksta IF vs Bergnasets AIK
2:1
Oct 12, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Bergnasets AIK vs Lucksta IF
3:2
May 26, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Lucksta IF vs Bergnasets AIK
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lucksta IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Buzuku G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marklund J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Bergnasets AIK Compare

Top Goalscorer Johansson J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lucksta IF 29 / 100
Bergnasets AIK 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lucksta IF Bergnasets AIK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lucksta IF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lucksta IF's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bergnasets AIK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Bergnasets AIK registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lucksta IF VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lucksta IF

(Home)
19 Sept
IFK Lulea
3 : 1
Lucksta IF
16 Sept
Kubikenborgs
4 : 2
Lucksta IF
12 Sept
Lucksta IF
4 : 2
Gottne IF
05 Sept
Gottne IF
1 : 1
Lucksta IF
30 Aug
Lucksta IF
0 : 1
IFK Lulea
Page 1 of 6

Bergnasets AIK

(Away)
15 Oct
Bergnasets AIK
3 : 0
Boden
11 Oct
Taftea IK
3 : 0
Bergnasets AIK
04 Oct
Bergnasets AIK
3 : 4
Friska Viljor
27 Sept
Kiruna
4 : 4
Bergnasets AIK
20 Sept
Bergnasets AIK
1 : 2
Lucksta IF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Friska Viljor 12 8 0 4 33:27 28
2 Boden 12 6 1 5 21:22 23
3 Taftea IK 12 7 1 4 22:15 22
4 Lucksta IF 12 6 0 6 23:23 20
5 Kiruna 12 4 3 5 19:19 17
6 Bergnasets AIK 12 3 2 7 24:30 17
7 Boden City 12 4 1 7 18:24 13
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2025 (Relegation)