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Lucksta IF vs Boden

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lucksta IF play Boden in the Division 2 - Norrland 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lucksta IF averaged 1.93 goals scored and 2.43 conceded. Boden averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Lucksta IF won 1, Boden won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 13, 2025 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Lucksta IF and 1.63 for Boden. This points to a Boden double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lucksta IF
20%
Draws
44%
Boden
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Boden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Lucksta IF picked up more points recently compared to Boden.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Lucksta IF Clean Sheet 14%
Boden Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 85%
Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lucksta IF Boden
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 3 8
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.93 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Lucksta IF vs Boden
1:3
Aug 2, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Lucksta IF
1:2
Aug 10, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Lucksta IF
3:1
Apr 7, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Lucksta IF vs Boden
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lucksta IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Marklund J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Boden Compare

Top Goalscorer David V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nian B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lucksta IF 35 / 100
Boden 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lucksta IF Boden

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Boden or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lucksta IF attacking → ← attacking Boden

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lucksta IF scored in 97% of their last 30 games.

Boden let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Lucksta IF went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Boden lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 44
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Friska Viljor1280433:2728
2Boden1261521:2223
3Taftea IK1271422:1522
4Lucksta IF1260623:2320
5Kiruna1243519:1917
6Bergnasets AIK1232724:3017
7Boden City1241718:2413