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Lucksta IF vs IFK Ostersund

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Hultdin J.
44' Event
Wikman K.
45' Event
Haggman I.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland game between Lucksta IF and IFK Ostersund finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward IFK Ostersund.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Lucksta IF
33%
Draws
40%
IFK Ostersund
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: IFK Ostersund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and IFK Ostersund come out ahead of Lucksta IF on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on IFK Ostersund taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • IFK Ostersund have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.80000000000001%
Lucksta IF Clean Sheet 10%
IFK Ostersund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lucksta IF IFK Ostersund
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 15
Draws 3 9
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 2.38 2
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Ostersund vs Lucksta IF
4:2
Apr 12, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Lucksta IF vs IFK Ostersund
2:4
Jun 28, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Lucksta IF vs IFK Ostersund
2:8
Apr 13, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Ostersund vs Lucksta IF
4:1
Sep 7, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Lucksta IF vs IFK Ostersund
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lucksta IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Shino A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shino Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

IFK Ostersund Compare

Top Goalscorer Hultdin J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wikman K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lucksta IF 26 / 100
IFK Ostersund 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lucksta IF IFK Ostersund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IFK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lucksta IF's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: IFK Ostersund conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Lucksta IF remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lucksta IF VS IFK Ostersund
2.38 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lucksta IF

(Home)
28 Jun
Lucksta IF
3 : 0
Gottne IF
14 Jun
Lucksta IF
1 : 5
Umea FF
11 Jun
Kubikenborgs
3 : 1
Lucksta IF
07 Jun
Lucksta IF
3 : 3
Fransta IK
30 May
Friska Viljor
3 : 3
Lucksta IF
Page 1 of 6

IFK Ostersund

(Away)
21 Jun
Umea FF
1 : 1
IFK Ostersund
14 Jun
IFK Ostersund
1 : 1
Kubikenborgs
10 Jun
Fransta IK
1 : 2
IFK Ostersund
06 Jun
IFK Ostersund
0 : 0
Friska Viljor
03 Jun
IFK Ostersund
1 : 0
Kubikenborgs
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Skelleftea1283126:827
2Taftea IK1281334:1325
3IFK Lulea1281332:1425
4Boden1245315:1417
5Umea FC Akademi1225517:2911
6Storfors AIK1222814:328
7IFK Umea12111010:384
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kubikenborgs1272325:1623
2Gottne IF1272329:2423
3Lucksta IF1253426:2618
4IFK Ostersund1245323:2017
5Friska Viljor1226423:2112
6Umea FF1225522:2611
7Fransta IK1223717:329
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)