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Lucksta IF vs IFK Ostersund

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Hultdin J.
44' Event
Wikman K.
45' Event
Haggman I.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland game between Lucksta IF and IFK Ostersund finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward IFK Ostersund.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Lucksta IF
20%
Draws
57%
IFK Ostersund
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: IFK Ostersund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and IFK Ostersund come out ahead of Lucksta IF on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on IFK Ostersund taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • IFK Ostersund have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Lucksta IF Clean Sheet 10%
IFK Ostersund Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lucksta IF IFK Ostersund
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 10 15
Draws 4 9
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.79 2.18
Goals Conceded 2.34 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Ostersund vs Lucksta IF
1:0
May 23, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Ostersund vs Lucksta IF
4:2
Apr 12, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Lucksta IF vs IFK Ostersund
2:4
Jun 28, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Lucksta IF vs IFK Ostersund
2:8
Apr 13, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Ostersund vs Lucksta IF
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lucksta IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Shino A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shino Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

IFK Ostersund Compare

Top Goalscorer Hultdin J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wikman K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lucksta IF 10 / 100
IFK Ostersund 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lucksta IF IFK Ostersund

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IFK Ostersund Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lucksta IF's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.60 goals per match.

IFK Ostersund's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 34 matches.

Solid form: Lucksta IF remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lucksta IF VS IFK Ostersund
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Lucksta IF

(Home)
19 Sept
IFK Lulea
3 : 1
Lucksta IF
16 Sept
Kubikenborgs
4 : 2
Lucksta IF
12 Sept
Lucksta IF
4 : 2
Gottne IF
05 Sept
Gottne IF
1 : 1
Lucksta IF
30 Aug
Lucksta IF
0 : 1
IFK Lulea
Page 1 of 6

IFK Ostersund

(Away)
20 Sept
Taftea IK
2 : 1
IFK Ostersund
16 Sept
IFK Ostersund
4 : 0
Gottne IF
12 Sept
IFK Ostersund
5 : 0
Skelleftea
05 Sept
Skelleftea
2 : 2
IFK Ostersund
30 Aug
IFK Ostersund
6 : 2
Taftea IK
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skelleftea 12 8 3 1 26:8 27
2 Taftea IK 12 8 1 3 34:13 25
3 IFK Lulea 12 8 1 3 32:14 25
4 Boden 12 4 5 3 15:14 17
5 Umea FC Akademi 12 2 5 5 17:29 11
6 Storfors AIK 12 2 2 8 14:32 8
7 IFK Umea 12 1 1 10 10:38 4
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kubikenborgs 12 7 2 3 25:16 23
2 Gottne IF 12 7 2 3 29:24 23
3 Lucksta IF 12 5 3 4 26:26 18
4 IFK Ostersund 12 4 5 3 23:20 17
5 Friska Viljor 12 2 6 4 23:21 12
6 Umea FF 12 2 5 5 22:26 11
7 Fransta IK 12 2 3 7 17:32 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)