Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lucon vs Pont Du Gard

France France

National 2013/2014
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Messiba J.
30' Event
Barkallah S.
33' Event
Masala S.

AI Match Summary

The National 2013/2014 game between Lucon and Pont Du Gard finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lucon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Lucon
15%
Draws
73%
Pont Du Gard
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pont Du Gard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Lucon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular National 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Lucon Clean Sheet 18%
Pont Du Gard Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lucon Pont Du Gard
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.38 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2014 Ligue 3
Lucon vs Pont Du Gard
3:2
Sep 7, 2013 Ligue 3
Pont Du Gard vs Lucon
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lucon Compare

Top Goalscorer Messiba J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Masala S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Pont Du Gard Compare

Top Goalscorer Barkallah S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bru J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lucon 32 / 100
Pont Du Gard 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lucon Pont Du Gard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pont Du Gard let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.50 goals when they meet.

Lucon scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Away concern: Pont Du Gard has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lucon VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lucon

(Home)
13 Nov
Lucon
0 : 2
Laval
03 Jun
Lucon
3 : 3
Les Herbiers
27 May
Beziers
1 : 0
Lucon
13 May
Lucon
1 : 5
Orleans
06 May
Dunkerque
5 : 1
Lucon
Page 1 of 7

Pont Du Gard

(Away)
23 May
Frejus Saint Raphael
3 : 1
Pont Du Gard
16 May
Pont Du Gard
0 : 3
GFC Ajaccio
09 May
Pont Du Gard
2 : 1
Red Star
02 May
Colomiers
1 : 2
Pont Du Gard
25 Apr
Pont Du Gard
1 : 2
Dunkerque
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Orleans 34 17 14 3 46:22 65
2 Luzenac 34 17 12 5 51:30 63
3 GFC Ajaccio 34 17 9 8 45:27 60
4 Colmar 34 13 11 10 37:39 50
5 Dunkerque 34 12 14 8 35:30 50
6 Amiens SC 34 12 13 9 32:24 49
7 Red Star 34 12 12 10 37:33 48
8 Carquefou 34 11 14 9 32:30 47
9 Paris FC 34 11 13 10 32:27 46
10 Frejus Saint Raphael 34 12 10 12 35:35 44
11 Bourg Peronnas 34 11 10 13 38:45 43
12 Lucon 34 10 11 13 32:41 41
13 Le Poire Sur Vie 34 11 8 15 37:52 41
14 Boulogne 34 11 7 16 36:40 40
15 Colomiers 34 10 9 15 39:39 39
16 Strasbourg 34 8 11 15 36:40 35
17 Vannes 34 6 14 14 35:45 29
18 Pont Du Gard 34 5 8 21 25:61 23
Promotion - Ligue 2 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2014/2015 (Main)