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Ludogorets II vs Etar

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga PFC Ludogorets 1945 Training Centre, Razgrad
Sun, Sep 27, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ludogorets II host Etar in the Vtora liga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Etar have shipped 1.85 goals a game lately, while Ludogorets II have conceded 1.14 and scored 1.25. Head-to-head, Ludogorets II have won 0 to Etar's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 27, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.19, favoring Etar. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ludogorets II
30%
Draws
31%
Etar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ludogorets II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Etar carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ludogorets II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ludogorets II Clean Sheet 20%
Etar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ludogorets II Etar
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 9 12
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.25 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Vtora liga
Ludogorets II vs Etar
0:0
May 15, 2026 Vtora liga
Etar vs Ludogorets II
1:0
Nov 28, 2025 Vtora liga
Ludogorets II vs Etar
0:1
May 18, 2025 Vtora liga
Etar vs Ludogorets II
1:1
Nov 25, 2024 Vtora liga
Ludogorets II vs Etar
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ludogorets II 85 / 100
Etar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ludogorets II Etar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ludogorets II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etar let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

Ludogorets II scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Recent resilience: Ludogorets II stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Etar lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ludogorets II VS Etar
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ludogorets II

(Home)
21 Sept
Spartak Pleven
1 : 0
Ludogorets II
15 Sept
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Fratria
07 Sept
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 : 3
Ludogorets II
02 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
1 : 0
Ludogorets II
29 Aug
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Hebar
Page 1 of 6

Etar

(Away)
20 Sept
Etar
2 : 4
Chernomorets 1919
14 Sept
Hebar
4 : 1
Etar
06 Sept
Etar
1 : 0
CSKA Sofia II
03 Sept
Vihren
4 : 1
Etar
29 Aug
Etar
2 : 2
Beroe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 11 7 3 1 25:11 24
2 CSKA Sofia II 11 7 2 2 23:9 23
3 Fratria 11 6 4 1 17:8 22
4 Chernomorets 1919 11 6 3 2 18:8 21
5 Beroe 11 5 3 3 16:12 18
6 Rilski Sportist 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
7 Nesebar 11 5 2 4 20:17 17
8 Gorna 11 4 4 3 9:10 16
9 Yantra Gabrovo 11 5 1 5 12:11 16
10 Hebar 11 4 2 5 24:19 14
11 Etar 10 4 2 4 17:19 14
12 Marek 11 4 2 5 11:12 14
13 Spartak Pleven 11 4 1 6 11:22 13
14 Ludogorets II 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
15 Montana 11 3 2 6 13:23 11
16 Svoge 11 2 4 5 7:10 10
17 Dobrudzha 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 11 0 0 11 4:33 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)