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Ludogorets III vs Dorostol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ludogorets III host Dorostol in the Third League - North-East. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Ludogorets III at 3.38 goals for, 0.66 against; Dorostol at 0.79 for, 2.64 against. Head-to-head, Ludogorets III have won 4 to Dorostol's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 0:9. Model xG sits at 2.69 vs 0.76, favoring Ludogorets III. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Ludogorets III
15%
Draws
7%
Dorostol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ludogorets III

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ludogorets III come out ahead of Dorostol on wins alone.
  • 78% — that's where the model lands on Ludogorets III taking it.
  • Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ludogorets III have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Ludogorets III Clean Sheet 20%
Dorostol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ludogorets III Dorostol
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 24 2
Draws 2 3
Losses 3 23
Goals Scored 3.38 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.66 2.64
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Third League - North-East
Dorostol vs Ludogorets III
0:9
Nov 9, 2025 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Dorostol
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 Third League - North-East
Dorostol vs Ludogorets III
0:2
Sep 8, 2024 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Dorostol
1:0
May 12, 2024 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Dorostol
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ludogorets III 85 / 100
Dorostol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ludogorets III Dorostol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ludogorets III Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ludogorets III scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Dorostol conceded in 93% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Ludogorets III has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ludogorets III VS Dorostol
2.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ludogorets III

(Home)
17 Oct
Devnya 2005
0 : 3
Ludogorets III
10 Oct
Ludogorets III
3 : 0
Septemvri Tervel
26 Sept
Ludogorets III
2 : 1
Volov Shumen
19 Sept
FK Riltzi
0 : 3
Ludogorets III
13 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 0
Ludogorets III
Page 1 of 6

Dorostol

(Away)
17 Oct
Dorostol
0 : 1
Septemvri Dragoevo
10 Oct
Ustrem Donchevo
4 : 3
Dorostol
03 Oct
Dorostol
1 : 2
Fratria II
19 Sept
Devnya 2005
2 : 2
Dorostol
06 Sept
Benkovski
5 : 1
Dorostol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ludogorets III 9 7 1 1 24:5 22
2 Volov Shumen 9 6 1 2 27:9 19
3 Svetkavitsa 2014 10 6 1 3 17:11 19
4 Chernolomets 9 5 3 1 21:7 18
5 Chernomorets Balchik 8 5 2 1 12:7 17
6 Benkovski 7 4 1 2 16:11 13
7 Septemvri Tervel 7 3 3 1 12:8 12
8 Devnya 2005 9 4 0 5 10:15 12
9 Cherno More II 9 3 2 4 14:11 11
10 Septemvri Dragoevo 9 3 2 4 13:19 11
11 FK Riltzi 8 3 1 4 10:17 10
12 Botev Novi Pazar 7 2 3 2 12:10 9
13 Olympic Varna 9 3 0 6 16:24 9
14 Fratria II 9 3 0 6 10:26 9
15 Aksakovo 7 2 1 4 15:20 7
16 Ustrem Donchevo 10 2 1 7 19:30 7
17 Dorostol 8 0 0 8 5:23 0
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