Sport Picks
Ludogorets III vs Ustrem Donchevo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Third League - North-East 
AI Match Summary
Ludogorets III host Ustrem Donchevo in the Third League - North-East. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Ustrem Donchevo have shipped 2.17 goals a game lately, while Ludogorets III have conceded 0.59 and scored 3.17. Head-to-head, Ludogorets III have won 5 to Ustrem Donchevo's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (3.00 - 1.06) back Ludogorets III to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ludogorets III carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Ludogorets III's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
- History favors Ludogorets III here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ludogorets III | Ustrem Donchevo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 24 | 13 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 3.17 | 2.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.59 | 2.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.00 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ludogorets III found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).
Ustrem Donchevo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.
Ludogorets III went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ludogorets III
(Home)Ustrem Donchevo
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ludogorets III | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 25:5 | 25 |
| 2 | Volov Shumen | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 29:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Chernomorets Balchik | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 20 |
| 4 | Svetkavitsa 2014 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17:11 | 19 |
| 5 | Chernolomets | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22:9 | 18 |
| 6 | Septemvri Tervel | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:8 | 15 |
| 7 | Benkovski | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Botev Novi Pazar | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | 12 |
| 9 | Devnya 2005 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10:15 | 12 |
| 10 | Cherno More II | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:11 | 11 |
| 11 | Septemvri Dragoevo | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 12 | FK Riltzi | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:20 | 10 |
| 13 | Olympic Varna | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 16:24 | 9 |
| 14 | Fratria II | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10:26 | 9 |
| 15 | Aksakovo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15:20 | 7 |
| 16 | Ustrem Donchevo | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 19:30 | 7 |
| 17 | Dorostol | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5:24 | 0 |
