Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ludogorets vs Farul Constanta

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Tekpetey B.
17' Event
Alibec D.
43' Event
Almeida D.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Ludogorets and Farul Constanta finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ludogorets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ludogorets
20%
Draws
33%
Farul Constanta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ludogorets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ludogorets carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ludogorets are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Ludogorets Clean Sheet 20%
Farul Constanta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ludogorets Farul Constanta
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Ludogorets vs Farul Constanta
0:0
Mar 29, 2026 Club Friendly
Ludogorets vs Farul Constanta
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ludogorets Compare

Top Goalscorer Tekpetey B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vinicius Nogueira
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Farul Constanta Compare

Top Goalscorer Alibec D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ludogorets 40 / 100
Farul Constanta 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ludogorets Farul Constanta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Farul Constanta has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Ludogorets's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Ludogorets has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ludogorets VS Farul Constanta
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ludogorets

(Home)
02 Aug
Ludogorets
2 : 1
Botev Vratsa
30 Jul
Ludogorets
2 : 2
Hapoel Tel Aviv
27 Jul
Dunav Ruse
0 : 2
Ludogorets
23 Jul
Hapoel Tel Aviv
2 : 0
Ludogorets
18 Jul
Ludogorets
1 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
Page 1 of 6

Farul Constanta

(Away)
03 Aug
FCSB
2 : 2
Farul Constanta
25 Jul
Farul Constanta
2 : 0
Corvinul Hunedoara
19 Jul
Universitatea Cluj
2 : 1
Farul Constanta
11 Jul
Dinamo Bucuresti
1 : 3
Farul Constanta
11 Jul
Voluntari
3 : 0
Farul Constanta
Page 1 of 6