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Ludogorets vs Lok. Plovdiv Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League 2025/2026 Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad
Fri, May 29, 2026
1 - 0
04:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

60'
Pavlov T.
63'
Vinicius Nogueira
63'
Sub
Bile E. In: Duah K.
Out: Bile E.

AI Match Summary

Ludogorets in this efbet League 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ludogorets
30%
Draws
27%
Lok. Plovdiv
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ludogorets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Lok. Plovdiv haven't matched Ludogorets's recent run of results.
  • Ludogorets are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Ludogorets have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ludogorets, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Ludogorets Clean Sheet 20%
Lok. Plovdiv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ludogorets Lok. Plovdiv
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 16 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.59 0.94
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 efbet League
Ludogorets vs Lok. Plovdiv
1:0
May 29, 2026 efbet League
Ludogorets vs Lok. Plovdiv
1:0
Mar 2, 2026 efbet League
Ludogorets vs Lok. Plovdiv
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs Ludogorets
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 efbet League
Lok. Plovdiv vs Ludogorets
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ludogorets 85 / 100
Lok. Plovdiv 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ludogorets Lok. Plovdiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ludogorets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Ludogorets remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Ludogorets found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Lok. Plovdiv let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ludogorets VS Lok. Plovdiv
1.88 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ludogorets

(Home)
27 Sept
Ludogorets
3 : 0
Ramnicu Valcea
14 Sept
Ludogorets
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Sofia
1 : 2
Ludogorets
30 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
Ludogorets
22 Aug
Ludogorets
1 : 1
Slavia Sofia
Page 1 of 6

Lok. Plovdiv

(Away)
02 Oct
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 0
Arda
20 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
13 Sept
Botev Plovdiv
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
06 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv
1 : 0
Cherno More
28 Aug
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Ludogorets 1
Lok. Plovdiv 0