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Stadium Background

Ludogorets vs Nice

Europe Europe

Europa League 2025/2026 Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Almeida D.
42' Event
Stanic P.
Assist: Caio Vidal
46'
Sub
Gouveia T. In: Boudache K.
Out: Gouveia T.

AI Match Summary

The Europa League 2025/2026 game between Ludogorets and Nice finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ludogorets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ludogorets
35%
Draws
14%
Nice
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ludogorets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ludogorets come out ahead of Nice on wins alone.
  • Ludogorets are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ludogorets Clean Sheet 20%
Nice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ludogorets Nice
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 15 9
Draws 7 11
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.46 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2026 Europa League
Ludogorets vs Nice
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ludogorets Compare

Top Goalscorer Stanic P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Nice Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ludogorets 85 / 100
Nice 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ludogorets Nice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ludogorets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ludogorets has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ludogorets's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Nice conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ludogorets VS Nice
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ludogorets

(Home)
14 Sept
Ludogorets
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Sofia
1 : 2
Ludogorets
30 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
Ludogorets
22 Aug
Ludogorets
1 : 1
Slavia Sofia
15 Aug
Ludogorets
2 : 0
Botev Plovdiv
Page 1 of 6

Nice

(Away)
12 Sept
Auxerre
1 : 0
Nice
05 Sept
Nice
1 : 1
Le Mans
30 Aug
Paris FC
3 : 0
Nice
22 Aug
Nice
0 : 0
Lorient
15 Aug
Hull City
0 : 0
Nice
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lyon 8 7 0 1 18:5 21
2 Aston Villa 8 7 0 1 14:6 21
3 Midtjylland 8 6 1 1 18:8 19
4 Betis 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
5 FC Porto 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
6 Braga 8 5 2 1 11:5 17
7 Freiburg 8 5 2 1 10:4 17
8 AS Roma 8 5 1 2 13:6 16
9 Genk 8 5 1 2 11:7 16
10 Bologna 8 4 3 1 14:7 15
11 VfB Stuttgart 8 5 0 3 15:9 15
12 Ferencvaros 8 4 3 1 12:11 15
13 Nottingham 8 4 2 2 15:7 14
14 Plzen 8 3 5 0 8:3 14
15 Crvena zvezda 8 4 2 2 7:6 14
16 Celta Vigo 8 4 1 3 15:11 13
17 PAOK 8 3 3 2 17:14 12
18 Lille 8 4 0 4 12:9 12
19 Fenerbahce 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
20 Panathinaikos 8 3 3 2 11:9 12
21 Celtic 8 3 2 3 13:15 11
22 Ludogorets 8 3 1 4 12:15 10
23 Din. Zagreb 8 3 1 4 12:16 10
24 Brann 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
25 Young Boys 8 3 0 5 10:16 9
26 Sturm Graz 8 2 1 5 5:11 7
27 FCSB 8 2 1 5 9:16 7
28 G.A. Eagles 8 2 1 5 6:14 7
29 Feyenoord 8 2 0 6 11:15 6
30 Basel 8 2 0 6 9:13 6
31 Salzburg 8 2 0 6 10:15 6
32 Rangers 8 1 1 6 5:14 4
33 Nice 8 1 0 7 7:15 3
34 Utrecht 8 0 1 7 5:15 1
35 Malmo FF 8 0 1 7 4:15 1
36 Maccabi Tel Aviv 8 0 1 7 2:22 1
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)