Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ludogorets vs Nice

Europe Europe

Europa League 2025/2026 Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Almeida D.
42' Event
Stanic P.
Assist: Caio Vidal
46'
Sub
Gouveia T. In: Boudache K.
Out: Gouveia T.

AI Match Summary

The Europa League 2025/2026 game between Ludogorets and Nice finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ludogorets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Ludogorets
33%
Draws
40%
Nice
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Nice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ludogorets come out ahead of Nice on wins alone.
  • Nice are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Ludogorets Clean Sheet 20%
Nice Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ludogorets Nice
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 5 10
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1.29
Goals Conceded 1 0.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2026 Europa League
Ludogorets vs Nice
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ludogorets Compare

Top Goalscorer Stanic P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Nice Compare

Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ludogorets 28 / 100
Nice 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ludogorets Nice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NIC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ludogorets scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Nice's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Ludogorets remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ludogorets VS Nice
1.63 Goals Scored 1.29
1 Goals Conceded 0.57
38% Over 1.5 43%
25% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Ludogorets

(Home)
23 Jul
Hapoel Tel Aviv
2 : 0
Ludogorets
18 Jul
Ludogorets
1 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv
10 Jul
Ludogorets
1 : 0
Teuta
10 Jul
Ludogorets
1 : 0
Septemvri Sofia
04 Jul
Ludogorets
2 : 2
FC Botosani
Page 1 of 6

Nice

(Away)
18 Jul
Nice
4 : 0
Nimes
29 May
Nice
4 : 1
St Etienne
26 May
St Etienne
0 : 0
Nice
22 May
Lens
3 : 1
Nice
17 May
Nice
0 : 0
Metz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lyon870118:521
2Aston Villa870114:621
3Midtjylland861118:819
4Betis852113:717
5FC Porto852113:717
6Braga852111:517
7Freiburg852110:417
8AS Roma851213:616
9Genk851211:716
10Bologna843114:715
11VfB Stuttgart850315:915
12Ferencvaros843112:1115
13Nottingham842215:714
14Plzen83508:314
15Crvena zvezda84227:614
16Celta Vigo841315:1113
17PAOK833217:1412
18Lille840412:912
19Fenerbahce833210:712
20Panathinaikos833211:912
21Celtic832313:1511
22Ludogorets831412:1510
23Din. Zagreb831412:1610
24Brann82339:119
25Young Boys830510:169
26Sturm Graz82155:117
27FCSB82159:167
28G.A. Eagles82156:147
29Feyenoord820611:156
30Basel82069:136
31Salzburg820610:156
32Rangers81165:144
33Nice81077:153
34Utrecht80175:151
35Malmo FF80174:151
36Maccabi Tel Aviv80172:221
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)