Sport Picks
Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia
Bulgaria
efbet League Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad 
Match Events
14'
14'
Sub
Wade S. In: Ozornwafor V.
Out: Wade S.
19'
19'
Son
21'
21'
Chochev I.
Assist: Tekpetey B.
AI Match Summary
The efbet League game between Ludogorets and Septemvri Sofia finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ludogorets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ludogorets
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ludogorets come out ahead of Septemvri Sofia on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Ludogorets's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular efbet League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Ludogorets have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Ludogorets Clean Sheet 20%
Septemvri Sofia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ludogorets | Septemvri Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 14, 2026 efbet League
Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia
2:1
Jul 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia
1:0
Dec 15, 2025 Bulgarian Cup
Septemvri Sofia vs Ludogorets
1:3
Nov 23, 2025 efbet League
Septemvri Sofia vs Ludogorets
0:2
Jul 19, 2025 efbet League
Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ludogorets Compare
Top Goalscorer Chochev I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Camara A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Septemvri Sofia Compare
Top Goalscorer Herard F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ludogorets 58 / 100
Septemvri Sofia 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ludogorets Septemvri Sofia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ludogorets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ludogorets scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: Ludogorets stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Septemvri Sofia conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Ludogorets VS Septemvri Sofia
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ludogorets
(Home) 14 Sept
Ludogorets
2 : 1 Septemvri Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Sofia
1 : 2 Ludogorets
30 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 1 Ludogorets
22 Aug
Ludogorets
1 : 1 Slavia Sofia
15 Aug
Ludogorets
2 : 0 Botev Plovdiv
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Ludogorets
2 : 1 Septemvri Sofia
22 Aug
Ludogorets
1 : 1 Slavia Sofia
15 Aug
Ludogorets
2 : 0 Botev Plovdiv
02 Aug
Ludogorets
2 : 1 Botev Vratsa
30 Jul
Ludogorets
2 : 2 Hapoel Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 4
Septemvri Sofia
(Away) 14 Sept
Ludogorets
2 : 1 Septemvri Sofia
04 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3 Botev Vratsa
28 Aug
Slavia Sofia
1 : 1 Septemvri Sofia
23 Aug
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 0 CSKA 1948 Sofia
17 Aug
Spartak Varna
0 : 1 Septemvri Sofia
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Ludogorets
2 : 1 Septemvri Sofia
28 Aug
Slavia Sofia
1 : 1 Septemvri Sofia
17 Aug
Spartak Varna
0 : 1 Septemvri Sofia
01 Aug
Levski Sofia
3 : 0 Septemvri Sofia
26 Jul
Lok. Plovdiv
2 : 1 Septemvri Sofia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 25 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23:6 | 23 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16:7 | 23 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 19:10 | 22 |
| 5 | Arda | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16:14 | 16 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 8 | Spartak Varna | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:14 | 10 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 10 | Septemvri Sofia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:18 | 8 |
| 11 | Lok. Plovdiv | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4:12 | 6 |
| 12 | Cherno More | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | 6 |
| 13 | Dunav Ruse | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | 5 |
| 14 | Lok. Sofia | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10:18 | 4 |
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)
