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Stadium Background

Ludwigsfelder vs Blau-Weiss Zorbau

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ludwigsfelder play Blau-Weiss Zorbau in the Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2024/2025. Blau-Weiss Zorbau are favorites here. Recently, Ludwigsfelder averaged 0.57 goals scored and 2.6 conceded. Blau-Weiss Zorbau averaged 1.41 goals scored and 2.59 conceded. In past meetings, Ludwigsfelder won 0, Blau-Weiss Zorbau won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 5, 2025 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Ludwigsfelder and 1.00 for Blau-Weiss Zorbau. This points to a Blau-Weiss Zorbau double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Ludwigsfelder
25%
Draws
60%
Blau-Weiss Zorbau
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Blau-Weiss Zorbau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Ludwigsfelder picked up more points recently compared to Blau-Weiss Zorbau.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Ludwigsfelder Clean Sheet 23%
Blau-Weiss Zorbau Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ludwigsfelder Blau-Weiss Zorbau
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 1 7
Draws 3 6
Losses 26 16
Goals Scored 0.57 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.6 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Ludwigsfelder vs Blau-Weiss Zorbau
1:2
Oct 5, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Blau-Weiss Zorbau vs Ludwigsfelder
2:1
May 13, 2023 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Ludwigsfelder vs Blau-Weiss Zorbau
1:1
Nov 27, 2022 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Blau-Weiss Zorbau vs Ludwigsfelder
3:1
May 16, 2021 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Ludwigsfelder vs Blau-Weiss Zorbau
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ludwigsfelder Compare

Top Goalscorer Franke R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Blau-Weiss Zorbau Compare

Top Goalscorer Neuhaus K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wagner J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ludwigsfelder 18 / 100
Blau-Weiss Zorbau 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ludwigsfelder Blau-Weiss Zorbau

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blau-Weiss Zorbau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Blau-Weiss Zorbau & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ludwigsfelder attacking → ← attacking Blau-Weiss Zorbau

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ludwigsfelder scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Blau-Weiss Zorbau let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Ludwigsfelder went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Blau-Weiss Zorbau lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 27
0.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Magdeburg II30236188:2575
2Krieschow30167775:4255
3Halle30167765:4255
4Rsv Eintracht301731067:3754
5Auerbach30149756:4151
6Freital301541154:4749
7Halberstadt301461062:5548
8Bischofswerdaer301210838:4046
9Bautzen301081257:5838
10Einheit Wernigerode301061457:7236
11Sandersdorf301051536:4935
12Grimma30971450:6534
13Einheit Rudolstadt30871550:5831
14Wismut Gera30941750:7831
15Blau-Weiss Zorbau30671740:7925
16Ludwigsfelder30142517:747