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Ludwigsfelder vs Luckenwalde Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Gollnack S.
60' Event
Mockel L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ludwigsfelder
15%
Draws
42%
Luckenwalde
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ludwigsfelder

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Luckenwalde average 1.07 goals a game right now, well clear of Ludwigsfelder's 0.86.
  • Luckenwalde are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Ludwigsfelder Clean Sheet 20%
Luckenwalde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ludwigsfelder Luckenwalde
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 6 6
Draws 3 6
Losses 26 17
Goals Scored 0.86 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Ludwigsfelder vs Luckenwalde
1:1
Jul 30, 2022 Club Friendly
Ludwigsfelder vs Luckenwalde
0:4
Sep 4, 2019 Club Friendly
Luckenwalde vs Ludwigsfelder
1:1
Dec 8, 2018 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Luckenwalde vs Ludwigsfelder
0:1
Aug 4, 2018 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Ludwigsfelder vs Luckenwalde
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ludwigsfelder Compare

Top Goalscorer Mockel L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Luckenwalde Compare

Top Goalscorer Gollnack S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ludwigsfelder 10 / 100
Luckenwalde 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ludwigsfelder Luckenwalde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luckenwalde Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luckenwalde let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Luckenwalde registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Ludwigsfelder's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ludwigsfelder VS Luckenwalde
3 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ludwigsfelder

(Home)
18 Jul
Rathenow
0 : 3
Ludwigsfelder
28 Jun
Ludwigsfelder
0 : 3
Hertha Berlin
31 May
Ludwigsfelder
1 : 4
Einheit Rudolstadt
25 May
Halberstadt
5 : 0
Ludwigsfelder
17 May
Ludwigsfelder
0 : 2
Krieschow
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Luckenwalde

(Away)
02 Oct
Luckenwalde
3 : 1
Magdeburg II
27 Sept
Luckenwalde
2 : 3
Babelsberg
20 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 1
Luckenwalde
15 Sept
Luckenwalde
0 : 2
BFC Preussen
12 Sept
Aue
2 : 1
Luckenwalde
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