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Ludwigsfelder vs Sandersdorf

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ludwigsfelder play Sandersdorf in the Oberliga NOFV- Sud 2024/2025. Sandersdorf are favorites here. Recently, Ludwigsfelder averaged 0.59 goals scored and 2.55 conceded. Sandersdorf averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. In past meetings, Ludwigsfelder won 0, Sandersdorf won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 15, 2025 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Ludwigsfelder and 1.49 for Sandersdorf. This points to a Sandersdorf double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Ludwigsfelder
27%
Draws
60%
Sandersdorf
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Sandersdorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • Ludwigsfelder picked up more points recently compared to Sandersdorf.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.49 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Ludwigsfelder Clean Sheet 16%
Sandersdorf Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ludwigsfelder Sandersdorf
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 1 11
Draws 3 10
Losses 25 11
Goals Scored 0.59 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.55 1.34

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Ludwigsfelder vs Sandersdorf
0:1
Sep 20, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Sandersdorf vs Ludwigsfelder
4:2
Mar 9, 2024 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Ludwigsfelder vs Sandersdorf
0:0
Sep 1, 2023 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Sandersdorf vs Ludwigsfelder
4:1
May 20, 2023 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Ludwigsfelder vs Sandersdorf
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ludwigsfelder Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sandersdorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Pannier P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ludwigsfelder 15 / 100
Sandersdorf 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ludwigsfelder Sandersdorf

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sandersdorf Win (2)
Secondary Pick Sandersdorf & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +160%
20.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ludwigsfelder attacking → ← attacking Sandersdorf

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ludwigsfelder scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Sandersdorf let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Ludwigsfelder went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Sandersdorf lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 43
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Magdeburg II30236188:2575
2Krieschow30167775:4255
3Halle30167765:4255
4Rsv Eintracht301731067:3754
5Auerbach30149756:4151
6Freital301541154:4749
7Halberstadt301461062:5548
8Bischofswerdaer301210838:4046
9Bautzen301081257:5838
10Einheit Wernigerode301061457:7236
11Sandersdorf301051536:4935
12Grimma30971450:6534
13Einheit Rudolstadt30871550:5831
14Wismut Gera30941750:7831
15Blau-Weiss Zorbau30671740:7925
16Ludwigsfelder30142517:747