Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lugano II vs Basel II

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Ajdin G.
13' Event
Ajdin G.
66' Event
Frizzi R.

AI Match Summary

The Promotion League game between Lugano II and Basel II finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lugano II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Lugano II
15%
Draws
51%
Basel II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Basel II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Basel II come out ahead of Lugano II on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lugano II a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Promotion League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Lugano II Clean Sheet 10%
Basel II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lugano II Basel II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 16
Draws 5 2
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.45 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Promotion League
Lugano II vs Basel II
3:0
Apr 11, 2026 Promotion League
Lugano II vs Basel II
4:2
Sep 28, 2025 Promotion League
Basel II vs Lugano II
3:2
Apr 19, 2025 Promotion League
Basel II vs Lugano II
0:2
Oct 19, 2024 Promotion League
Lugano II vs Basel II
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lugano II Compare

Top Goalscorer Ajdin G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Frizzi R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Basel II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lugano II 40 / 100
Basel II 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lugano II Basel II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Lugano II scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Basel II let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Lugano II has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lugano II VS Basel II
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lugano II

(Home)
26 Sept
Lugano II
0 : 1
Cham
19 Sept
Schaffhausen
2 : 1
Lugano II
13 Sept
Lugano II
3 : 0
Basel II
05 Sept
Amical Saint-Prex
1 : 0
Lugano II
29 Aug
Lugano II
3 : 2
Bavois
Page 1 of 6

Basel II

(Away)
26 Sept
Young Boys II
0 : 2
Basel II
19 Sept
Basel II
1 : 2
Bulle
13 Sept
Lugano II
3 : 0
Basel II
05 Sept
Basel II
3 : 0
Bruhl SG
29 Aug
Young Fellows Juventus
2 : 3
Basel II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Biel 9 7 1 1 21:9 22
2 Schaffhausen 9 6 1 2 15:10 19
3 Cham 9 6 1 2 14:9 19
4 Grand-Saconnex 9 6 0 3 19:13 18
5 Bulle 9 5 2 2 18:12 17
6 Paradiso 9 5 1 3 19:9 16
7 Young Fellows Juventus 9 4 1 4 13:14 13
8 Amical Saint-Prex 9 4 1 4 13:20 13
9 Basel II 9 4 0 5 16:17 12
10 Bruhl SG 9 3 2 4 12:12 11
11 Breitenrain 9 3 2 4 12:15 11
12 Young Boys II 9 3 2 4 17:21 11
13 Zurich II 9 3 2 4 14:18 11
14 FC Kreuzlingen 9 2 3 4 10:13 9
15 Lugano II 9 3 0 6 15:21 9
16 Bavois 9 2 2 5 10:11 8
17 Luzern II 9 2 1 6 13:16 7
18 Bellinzona 9 1 2 6 7:18 5
Promotion - Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)