Sport Picks

Switzerland

Promotion League 2025/2026

Lugano II

4 - 2

Basel II

Our Tip

Match Events

Uruejoma M.

17'

Tiraboschi I.

26'

Ajdin G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lugano II in this Promotion League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lugano II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Lugano II

11%

Draws

80%

Basel II

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Basel II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Basel II have won more games recently than Lugano II.
Win probability leans Basel II's way, sitting at 80%.
Regular Promotion League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%

Lugano II Clean Sheet 10%

Basel II Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lugano II	Basel II
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	7	15
Draws	11	5
Losses	14	10
Goals Scored	0.88	1.63
Goals Conceded	2.38	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.38	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Promotion League

Lugano II vs Basel II

Possession: 51% - 53% Cards: 3 - 1

4:2

Sep 28, 2025 Promotion League

Basel II vs Lugano II

Possession: 40% - 41% Cards: 1 - 3

3:2

Apr 19, 2025 Promotion League

Basel II vs Lugano II

Possession: 60% - 48% Cards: 1 - 1

0:2

Oct 19, 2024 Promotion League

Lugano II vs Basel II

Possession: 60% - 42% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

May 11, 2024 Promotion League

Lugano II vs Basel II

Possession: 48% - 51% Cards: 1 - 0

2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lugano II Compare

Top Goalscorer Tiraboschi I.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ajdin G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Basel II Compare

Top Goalscorer Uruejoma M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Senaya E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lugano II 10 / 100

Basel II 74 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lugano II Basel II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAS Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Lugano II found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Basel II conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Lugano II stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lugano II VS Basel II

0.88 Goals Scored 1.63

2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63

88% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kriens	34	25	4	5	100:43	79
2	Bruhl SG	34	22	6	6	87:46	72
3	Biel	34	19	7	8	78:46	64
4	Basel II	34	17	8	9	65:48	59
5	Bavois	34	17	4	13	64:53	55
6	Young Boys II	34	15	9	10	66:52	54
7	Schaffhausen	34	16	5	13	51:46	53
8	Bulle	34	15	6	13	70:64	51
9	Cham	34	14	8	12	62:61	50
10	Grand-Saconnex	34	11	10	13	71:69	43
11	Zurich II	34	11	8	15	59:62	41
12	Breitenrain	34	11	8	15	47:51	41
13	Luzern II	34	10	10	14	80:83	40
14	FC Kreuzlingen	34	8	13	13	43:66	37
15	Lugano II	34	8	12	14	45:75	36
16	Paradiso	34	8	11	15	51:65	35
17	Lausanne II	34	9	4	21	60:84	31
18	Vevey	34	1	5	28	28:113	2