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Lugano II vs Bulle Prediction & H2H Stats

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League
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Match Events

20' Event
Ukmata A.
23' Event
Amirzade M.
33' Event
Petignat E.

AI Match Summary

Bulle in this Promotion League matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bulle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Lugano II
15%
Draws
46%
Bulle
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bulle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Bulle have won more games recently than Lugano II.
  • Win probability leans Lugano II's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Lugano II Clean Sheet 10%
Bulle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lugano II Bulle
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 16
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1.38 2.23
Goals Conceded 2.45 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Promotion League
Lugano II vs Bulle
1:4
Apr 2, 2026 Promotion League
Bulle vs Lugano II
2:0
Sep 21, 2025 Promotion League
Lugano II vs Bulle
1:1
May 17, 2025 Promotion League
Bulle vs Lugano II
0:2
Nov 9, 2024 Promotion League
Lugano II vs Bulle
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lugano II Compare

Top Goalscorer Amirzade M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Bulle Compare

Top Goalscorer Ukmata A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Petignat E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lugano II 38 / 100
Bulle 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lugano II Bulle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lugano II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bulle conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Lugano II scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Lugano II stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lugano II VS Bulle
1.88 Goals Scored 2.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lugano II

(Home)
26 Sept
Lugano II
0 : 1
Cham
19 Sept
Schaffhausen
2 : 1
Lugano II
13 Sept
Lugano II
3 : 0
Basel II
05 Sept
Amical Saint-Prex
1 : 0
Lugano II
29 Aug
Lugano II
3 : 2
Bavois
Page 1 of 6

Bulle

(Away)
26 Sept
Bulle
0 : 1
Schaffhausen
19 Sept
Basel II
1 : 2
Bulle
10 Sept
Bulle
3 : 1
Amical Saint-Prex
05 Sept
Bavois
3 : 0
Bulle
30 Aug
Bulle
1 : 1
Biel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Biel 9 7 1 1 21:9 22
2 Schaffhausen 9 6 1 2 15:10 19
3 Cham 9 6 1 2 14:9 19
4 Grand-Saconnex 9 6 0 3 19:13 18
5 Bulle 9 5 2 2 18:12 17
6 Paradiso 9 5 1 3 19:9 16
7 Young Fellows Juventus 9 4 1 4 13:14 13
8 Amical Saint-Prex 9 4 1 4 13:20 13
9 Basel II 9 4 0 5 16:17 12
10 FC Kreuzlingen 10 3 3 4 13:13 12
11 Breitenrain 9 3 2 4 12:15 11
12 Young Boys II 9 3 2 4 17:21 11
13 Zurich II 9 3 2 4 14:18 11
14 Bruhl SG 10 3 2 5 12:15 11
15 Lugano II 9 3 0 6 15:21 9
16 Bavois 9 2 2 5 10:11 8
17 Luzern II 9 2 1 6 13:16 7
18 Bellinzona 9 1 2 6 7:18 5
Promotion - Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)