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Lugano II vs Chur

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 3 2013/2014
Lugano II Logo

Lugano II

2 - 4
FT
Chur Logo

Chur

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1.Liga Classic Group 3 2013/2014 game between Lugano II and Chur finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Lugano II
15%
Draws
34%
Chur
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lugano II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chur come out ahead of Lugano II on wins alone.
  • Lugano II are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Lugano II Clean Sheet 10%
Chur Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lugano II Chur
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 5 2
Losses 20 19
Goals Scored 1.45 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.55 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2014 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Chur vs Lugano II
4:3
Nov 2, 2013 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Lugano II vs Chur
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lugano II 74 / 100
Chur 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lugano II Chur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lugano II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chur let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.50 goals when they meet.

Lugano II's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Away concern: Chur has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lugano II VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lugano II

(Home)
26 Sept
Lugano II
0 : 1
Cham
19 Sept
Schaffhausen
2 : 1
Lugano II
13 Sept
Lugano II
3 : 0
Basel II
05 Sept
Amical Saint-Prex
1 : 0
Lugano II
29 Aug
Lugano II
3 : 2
Bavois
Page 1 of 7

Chur

(Away)
17 Aug
Besa
1 : 0
Chur
31 May
Chur
4 : 3
Lugano II
24 May
Winterthur II
4 : 1
Chur
17 May
Chur
1 : 3
Hongg
11 May
Muri
2 : 2
Chur
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eschen/Mauren 26 15 4 7 60:37 49
2 Rapperswil-Jona 26 12 8 6 55:33 44
3 Cham 26 11 8 7 51:43 41
4 Zug 26 11 7 8 43:39 40
5 Gossau 26 12 3 11 45:53 39
6 Balzers 26 11 5 10 37:31 38
7 Wettswil-Bonstetten 26 10 7 9 37:33 37
8 Mendrisio 26 9 10 7 35:31 37
9 Muri 26 10 7 9 44:49 37
10 Thalwil 26 9 6 11 39:34 33
11 Lugano II 26 9 4 13 32:45 31
12 Winterthur II 26 8 5 13 30:39 29
13 Chur 26 8 2 16 43:65 26
14 Hongg 26 7 4 15 36:55 25
Promotion - 1.Liga Classic Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - 1.Liga Classic Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)