Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lugano II vs Thalwil

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 3 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lugano II in this 1.Liga Classic Group 3 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lugano II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Lugano II
30%
Draws
42%
Thalwil
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Thalwil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lugano II lately — more wins on the board than Thalwil.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Lugano II Clean Sheet 10%
Thalwil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lugano II Thalwil
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 6
Draws 5 5
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.43 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.4 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2022 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Lugano II vs Thalwil
3:1
Oct 2, 2021 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Thalwil vs Lugano II
4:1
Mar 23, 2014 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Thalwil vs Lugano II
3:1
Sep 1, 2013 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Lugano II vs Thalwil
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lugano II 30 / 100
Thalwil 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lugano II Thalwil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thalwil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thalwil's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Lugano II's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Lugano II went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lugano II VS Thalwil
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lugano II

(Home)
26 Sept
Lugano II
0 : 1
Cham
19 Sept
Schaffhausen
2 : 1
Lugano II
13 Sept
Lugano II
3 : 0
Basel II
05 Sept
Amical Saint-Prex
1 : 0
Lugano II
29 Aug
Lugano II
3 : 2
Bavois
Page 1 of 6

Thalwil

(Away)
26 Sept
Dietikon
1 : 1
Thalwil
19 Sept
Thalwil
2 : 1
Tuggen
13 Sept
Wettswil-Bonstetten
1 : 1
Thalwil
05 Sept
Thalwil
5 : 1
St. Gallen II
29 Aug
Eschen/Mauren
0 : 0
Thalwil
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Baden 26 17 3 6 54:27 54
2 Paradiso 26 15 7 4 45:32 52
3 Tuggen 26 16 3 7 55:37 51
4 St. Gallen II 26 13 3 10 65:41 42
5 Wettswil-Bonstetten 26 13 3 10 43:24 42
6 Linth 26 10 9 7 47:41 39
7 Freienbach 26 12 3 11 44:43 39
8 Winterthur II 26 10 7 9 52:37 37
9 Eschen/Mauren 26 10 7 9 35:38 37
10 Uzwil 26 8 5 13 41:55 29
11 Gossau 26 8 4 14 35:56 28
12 Lugano II 26 8 3 15 37:51 27
13 Thalwil 26 7 2 17 30:70 23
14 Balzers 26 5 1 20 41:72 16
Promotion - 1.Liga Classic Group 1 2021/2022 (Play Offs)