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Lugano vs Plzen

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Vasulin D.
25'
Spacil K.
32'
Dweh S.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Lugano and Plzen finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Plzen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Lugano
6%
Draws
4%
Plzen
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lugano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Plzen haven't matched Lugano's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Lugano a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Plzen here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Lugano Clean Sheet 20%
Plzen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lugano Plzen
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 2.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 9, 2026 Club Friendly
Lugano vs Plzen
2:4
Nov 2, 2017 Europa League
Plzen vs Lugano
4:1
Oct 19, 2017 Europa League
Lugano vs Plzen
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lugano Compare

Top Goalscorer Behrens K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cassano C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Plzen Compare

Top Goalscorer Vasulin D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kadlec A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lugano 85 / 100
Plzen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lugano Plzen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lugano scored in 96% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.33 goals when they meet.

Plzen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Lugano stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lugano VS Plzen
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lugano

(Home)
02 Aug
Grasshoppers
1 : 4
Lugano
29 Jul
Dukagjini
1 : 5
Lugano
26 Jul
Lugano
2 : 1
Vaduz
23 Jul
Lugano
1 : 0
Dukagjini
17 Jul
Lugano
1 : 2
Vaduz
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Plzen

(Away)
01 Aug
Plzen
1 : 1
Brno
25 Jul
Plzen
1 : 3
Liberec
14 Jul
Plzen
2 : 0
Polissya Zhytomyr
10 Jul
Plzen
3 : 5
Young Boys
07 Jul
Plzen
1 : 1
FC Copenhagen
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