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Lugano vs Servette - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League AIL Arena, Lugano
Lugano Logo

Lugano

1 - 0
FT
Servette Logo

Servette

Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Kendouci A.
20' Event
Mraz S.
Penalty Missed
28'
Moncada D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lugano in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lugano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Lugano
15%
Draws
32%
Servette
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lugano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Servette haven't matched Lugano's recent run of results.
  • Lugano are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Lugano Clean Sheet 68%
Servette Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lugano Servette
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 23 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 2.73 2.03
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Super League
Lugano vs Servette
1:0
Feb 11, 2026 Super League
Lugano vs Servette
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Super League
Lugano vs Servette
4:2
Oct 26, 2025 Super League
Servette vs Lugano
2:1
May 15, 2025 Super League
Servette vs Lugano
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lugano Compare

Top Goalscorer Ajeti Al.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Servette Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lugano 50 / 100
Servette 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lugano Servette

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lugano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 8:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lugano found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Lugano went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Servette let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lugano VS Servette
3.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lugano

(Home)
25 Oct
Thun
2 : 3
Lugano
22 Oct
Getafe
2 : 5
Lugano
18 Oct
Pully
0 : 4
Lugano
15 Oct
Lugano
3 : 2
Crvena zvezda
10 Oct
Lugano
4 : 0
Luzern
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Servette

(Away)
31 Oct
St. Gallen
2 : 1
Servette
24 Oct
Servette
2 : 1
Vaduz
16 Oct
Rotkreuz
0 : 4
Servette
10 Oct
Servette
3 : 0
Sion
02 Oct
Annecy
2 : 1
Servette
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugano 11 10 1 0 34:9 31
2 Young Boys 11 7 4 0 35:18 25
3 Sion 12 7 2 3 25:18 23
4 St. Gallen 12 6 1 5 19:22 19
5 Zurich 11 5 2 4 20:23 17
6 Servette 12 5 1 6 17:16 16
7 Basel 11 4 2 5 17:20 14
8 Luzern 12 3 4 5 19:25 13
9 Vaduz 12 3 1 8 24:25 10
10 Thun 11 3 1 7 19:30 10
11 Grasshoppers 12 2 4 6 15:28 10
12 Lausanne 11 1 3 7 7:17 6
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)