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Lugano vs Verona - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Mosquera D.
19' Event
Mosquera D.
28' Event
Sezonienko K.

AI Match Summary

Verona in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Verona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Lugano
15%
Draws
46%
Verona
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Verona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Lugano have won more games recently than Verona.
  • Lugano are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Lugano Clean Sheet 15%
Verona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lugano Verona
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 20 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 3 13
Goals Scored 2.5 1.39
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Club Friendly
Lugano vs Verona
1:3
Nov 14, 2014 Club Friendly
Lugano vs Verona
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lugano Compare

Top Goalscorer Ajeti Al.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Verona Compare

Top Goalscorer Mosquera D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sezonienko K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lugano 35 / 100
Verona 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lugano Verona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lugano scored in 100% of their last 28 games.

Verona let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Lugano remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lugano VS Verona
2.38 Goals Scored 2.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lugano

(Home)
02 Oct
Lugano
1 : 3
Verona
20 Sept
Lausanne
0 : 4
Lugano
16 Sept
Lugano
4 : 1
St. Gallen
12 Sept
Lugano
2 : 2
Young Boys
06 Sept
Basel
1 : 3
Lugano
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Verona

(Away)
02 Oct
Lugano
1 : 3
Verona
20 Sept
Verona
2 : 1
Vicenza
11 Sept
Benevento
3 : 1
Verona
06 Sept
Verona
5 : 0
Arezzo
03 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 2
Verona
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