Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lugazi vs Kampala City

Uganda Uganda

Premier League Lugazi FC Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Mayanja S.
57' Event
Ahimbisibwe Ivan
61' Event
Ayiko R.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Lugazi host Kampala City in the Premier League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Kampala City have shipped 0.75 goals a game lately, while Lugazi have conceded 0.63 and scored 0.5. Head-to-head, Lugazi have won 0 to Kampala City's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (0.63 - 1.13) back Kampala City to edge this. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Lugazi
22%
Draws
60%
Kampala City
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Kampala City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Kampala City has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Lugazi.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Kampala City.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Lugazi Clean Sheet 21%
Kampala City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lugazi Kampala City
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 19
Draws 10 4
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 0.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Premier League
Lugazi vs Kampala City
0:3
Oct 16, 2025 Premier League
Kampala City vs Lugazi
0:0
May 14, 2025 Premier League
Kampala City vs Lugazi
5:0
Nov 30, 2024 Premier League
Lugazi vs Kampala City
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lugazi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Kampala City Compare

Top Goalscorer Mayanja S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ahimbisibwe Ivan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lugazi 20 / 100
Kampala City 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lugazi Kampala City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lugazi scored in 35% of their last 31 games.

Kampala City let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Lugazi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Kampala City lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lugazi VS Kampala City
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vipers301910155:1767
2Kampala City30195646:2262
3Villa30187547:1761
4Kitara30168643:2256
5Entebbe UPPC30149730:2051
6NEC FC301312531:2251
7Police30138942:3547
8Maroons309111026:2738
9BUL309101130:3337
10Express FC309101128:3137
11Uganda Revenue30516927:3031
12Mbarara City30691526:4627
13Lugazi305101519:3625
14UPDF FC30571824:4122
15Calvary30491714:3921
16Buhimba30432316:6615