Sport Picks

Uganda

Premier League

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lugazi host Uganda Revenue in the Premier League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Lugazi at 0.5 goals for, 0.63 against; Uganda Revenue at 0.75 for, 1.25 against. Head-to-head, Lugazi have won 0 to Uganda Revenue's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 11, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.88 - 0.69) back Uganda Revenue to edge this. Uganda Revenue in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Lugazi

30%

Draws

34%

Uganda Revenue

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lugazi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Uganda Revenue has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Lugazi.
Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Lugazi.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 23%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Lugazi Clean Sheet 68%

Uganda Revenue Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lugazi	Uganda Revenue
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	4	7
Draws	10	13
Losses	16	11
Goals Scored	0.5	0.75
Goals Conceded	0.63	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 Premier League

Uganda Revenue vs Lugazi

Possession: 50% - 48% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Oct 22, 2025 Premier League

Lugazi vs Uganda Revenue

Possession: 44% - 49% Cards: 0 - 0

0:0

May 6, 2025 Premier League

Lugazi vs Uganda Revenue

Possession: 40% - 55% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Dec 19, 2024 Premier League

Uganda Revenue vs Lugazi

Possession: 45% - 56% Cards: 1 - 0

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lugazi 46 / 100

Uganda Revenue 44 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lugazi Uganda Revenue

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lugazi scored in 33% of their last 30 games.

Uganda Revenue let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 0.75 goals.

Lugazi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Uganda Revenue lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lugazi VS Uganda Revenue

0.5 Goals Scored 0.75

0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25

38% Over 1.5 75%

13% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vipers	30	19	10	1	55:17	67
2	Kampala City	30	19	5	6	46:22	62
3	Villa	30	18	7	5	47:17	61
4	Kitara	30	16	8	6	43:22	56
5	Entebbe UPPC	30	14	9	7	30:20	51
6	NEC FC	30	13	12	5	31:22	51
7	Police	30	13	8	9	42:35	47
8	Maroons	30	9	11	10	26:27	38
9	BUL	30	9	10	11	30:33	37
10	Express FC	30	9	10	11	28:31	37
11	Uganda Revenue	30	5	16	9	27:30	31
12	Mbarara City	30	6	9	15	26:46	27
13	Lugazi	30	5	10	15	19:36	25
14	UPDF FC	30	5	7	18	24:41	22
15	Calvary	30	4	9	17	14:39	21
16	Buhimba	30	4	3	23	16:66	15