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Lugo B vs Barbadas-Bentraces - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Pascual V.
37' Event
Doumbouya I.
44' Event
Doumbouya I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Lugo B and Barbadas-Bentraces finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lugo B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Lugo B
20%
Draws
22%
Barbadas-Bentraces
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lugo B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Lugo B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Lugo B's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Lugo B Clean Sheet 20%
Barbadas-Bentraces Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lugo B Barbadas-Bentraces
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 3
Draws 10 5
Losses 10 22
Goals Scored 1.2 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.07 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo B vs Barbadas-Bentraces
5:1
Jan 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barbadas-Bentraces vs Lugo B
1:1
Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo B vs Barbadas-Bentraces
2:0
Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barbadas-Bentraces vs Lugo B
0:1
May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo B vs Barbadas-Bentraces
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lugo B Compare

Top Goalscorer Doumbouya I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pascual V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Barbadas-Bentraces Compare

Top Goalscorer Cougil M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lugo B 85 / 100
Barbadas-Bentraces 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lugo B Barbadas-Bentraces

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lugo B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lugo B scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Barbadas-Bentraces has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Lugo B remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lugo B VS Barbadas-Bentraces
0.5 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
25% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lugo B

(Home)
10 May
Racing Club Villalbes
2 : 1
Lugo B
03 May
Lugo B
5 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
26 Apr
Alondras
0 : 4
Lugo B
19 Apr
Viveiro
0 : 0
Lugo B
11 Apr
Lugo B
0 : 0
Gran Pena
Page 1 of 6

Barbadas-Bentraces

(Away)
10 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 2
Alondras
03 May
Lugo B
5 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
26 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 4
Gran Pena
19 Apr
Silva SD
3 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
12 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
3 : 2
Celtiga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)