Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Lugo host AD Merida in the Primera RFEF - Group 1. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. AD Merida have shipped 1.66 goals a game lately, while Lugo have conceded 0.9 and scored 1.3. Past meetings favor Lugo slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 0.94, favoring Lugo. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Lugo come out ahead of AD Merida on wins alone.
- Lugo are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lugo | AD Merida |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lugo went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Lugo scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
AD Merida let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Lugo
(Home)AD Merida
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugo | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | 22 |
| 2 | UD Logrones | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:11 | 17 |
| 3 | Racing Club Ferrol | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 16 |
| 4 | AD Merida | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 5 | Ath Bilbao B | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Zamora | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 7 | Leonesa | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 12 |
| 8 | Cacereno | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:5 | 12 |
| 9 | Ponferradina | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6:6 | 12 |
| 10 | Real Aviles | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:10 | 11 |
| 11 | Pontevedra | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 11 |
| 12 | Mirandes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 11 |
| 13 | Real Union | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 15:13 | 10 |
| 14 | CD Extremadura | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:10 | 10 |
| 15 | Barakaldo | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 16 | Deportivo Fabril | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 17 | CD Coria | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:16 | 8 |
| 18 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:14 | 7 |
| 19 | UD Ourense | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:13 | 5 |
| 20 | Arenas Getxo | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:22 | 2 |
