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Lugo vs Celta Vigo B

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lugo host Celta Vigo B in the Club Friendly. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Lugo at 0.75 goals for, 1.38 against; Celta Vigo B at 1.88 for, 0.88 against. Head-to-head, Lugo have won 4 to Celta Vigo B's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 1.63, favoring Celta Vigo B. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lugo
44%
Draws
20%
Celta Vigo B
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Celta Vigo B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lugo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Lugo Clean Sheet 14%
Celta Vigo B Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lugo Celta Vigo B
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 10 14
Draws 10 11
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 0.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Celta Vigo B vs Lugo
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo vs Celta Vigo B
2:0
Mar 19, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Celta Vigo B vs Lugo
1:2
Oct 19, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo vs Celta Vigo B
1:0
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Lugo vs Celta Vigo B
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lugo 35 / 100
Celta Vigo B 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lugo Celta Vigo B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celta Vigo B has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Lugo's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Lugo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lugo VS Celta Vigo B
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lugo

(Home)
23 May
Lugo
0 : 0
Arenteiro
17 May
Celta Vigo B
0 : 1
Lugo
10 May
Lugo
1 : 3
Zamora
03 May
AD Merida
0 : 2
Lugo
25 Apr
Barakaldo
3 : 0
Lugo
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Celta Vigo B

(Away)
20 Jun
Celta Vigo B
4 : 1
Ponferradina
13 Jun
Ponferradina
0 : 0
Celta Vigo B
07 Jun
Celta Vigo B
3 : 2
CE Europa
31 May
CE Europa
1 : 1
Celta Vigo B
23 May
Barakaldo
1 : 1
Celta Vigo B
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