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Lugo vs Celta Vigo B

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Marin A.
74' Event
Teofilovic O.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Lugo and Celta Vigo B finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Lugo
20%
Draws
35%
Celta Vigo B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lugo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Celta Vigo B's 1.69 goals per match outpaces what Lugo have produced (1.14).
  • Lugo are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Lugo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Lugo Clean Sheet 68%
Celta Vigo B Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lugo Celta Vigo B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 8 10
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.14 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Lugo vs Celta Vigo B
1:1
May 17, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Celta Vigo B vs Lugo
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo vs Celta Vigo B
2:0
Mar 19, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Celta Vigo B vs Lugo
1:2
Oct 19, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo vs Celta Vigo B
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lugo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Celta Vigo B Compare

Top Goalscorer Marin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lugo 50 / 100
Celta Vigo B 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lugo Celta Vigo B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lugo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lugo has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Lugo's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Celta Vigo B conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Lugo VS Celta Vigo B
1.5 Goals Scored 2
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lugo

(Home)
13 Sept
Lugo
1 : 0
CD Coria
04 Sept
Ponferradina
0 : 0
Lugo
30 Aug
Unionistas de Salamanca
1 : 3
Lugo
21 Aug
Lugo
1 : 0
Ourense CF
15 Aug
Lugo
2 : 1
Coruxo FC
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Celta Vigo B

(Away)
05 Sept
AD Ceuta
0 : 2
Celta Vigo B
31 Aug
Celta Vigo B
1 : 2
Castellon
24 Aug
Celta Vigo B
4 : 2
FC Andorra
15 Aug
Cadiz
0 : 0
Celta Vigo B
08 Aug
Celta Vigo B
2 : 0
UD Ourense
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