Sport Picks
Lugo vs Racing Club Ferrol Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Primera RFEF - Group 1 Estadio Anxo Carro, Lugo 
Match Events
9'
9'
Palma A.
20'
20'
Gallar A.
Assist: Palma A.
45'
45'
Dauda M.
AI Match Summary
The Primera RFEF - Group 1 game between Lugo and Racing Club Ferrol finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lugo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
20%
28%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lugo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Lugo carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Lugo a 52% chance of winning this.
- Regular Primera RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Lugo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Lugo Clean Sheet 68%
Racing Club Ferrol Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lugo | Racing Club Ferrol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo vs Racing Club Ferrol
1:0
Feb 7, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Racing Club Ferrol vs Lugo
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo vs Racing Club Ferrol
2:1
Dec 30, 2022 Club Friendly
Racing Club Ferrol vs Lugo
1:2
Aug 6, 2022 Club Friendly
Lugo vs Racing Club Ferrol
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lugo Compare
Top Goalscorer Gallar A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Racing Club Ferrol Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lugo 77 / 100
Racing Club Ferrol 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lugo Racing Club Ferrol
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lugo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lugo went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Lugo scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Racing Club Ferrol has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Lugo VS Racing Club Ferrol
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Lugo
(Home) 26 Sept
Lugo
1 : 0 Racing Club Ferrol
20 Sept
Zamora
1 : 2 Lugo
13 Sept
Lugo
1 : 0 CD Coria
04 Sept
Ponferradina
0 : 0 Lugo
30 Aug
Unionistas de Salamanca
1 : 3 Lugo
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Lugo
1 : 0 Racing Club Ferrol
13 Sept
Lugo
1 : 0 CD Coria
21 Aug
Lugo
1 : 0 Ourense CF
15 Aug
Lugo
2 : 1 Coruxo FC
01 Aug
Lugo
2 : 0 Deportivo Fabril
Page 1 of 4
Racing Club Ferrol
(Away) 26 Sept
Lugo
1 : 0 Racing Club Ferrol
19 Sept
Racing Club Ferrol
1 : 0 Barakaldo
13 Sept
Racing Club Ferrol
3 : 2 Real Union
06 Sept
CD Extremadura
1 : 0 Racing Club Ferrol
29 Aug
Arenas Getxo
1 : 1 Racing Club Ferrol
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Lugo
1 : 0 Racing Club Ferrol
06 Sept
CD Extremadura
1 : 0 Racing Club Ferrol
29 Aug
Arenas Getxo
1 : 1 Racing Club Ferrol
23 May
Unionistas de Salamanca
3 : 2 Racing Club Ferrol
08 May
Arenas Getxo
1 : 1 Racing Club Ferrol
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Logrones | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Lugo | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 13 |
| 3 | Ath Bilbao B | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:5 | 11 |
| 4 | Cacereno | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 11 |
| 5 | Mirandes | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 6 | Pontevedra | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 7 | Deportivo Fabril | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 8 | Ponferradina | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 8 |
| 9 | Leonesa | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 8 |
| 10 | Real Union | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:10 | 7 |
| 11 | Zamora | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 7 |
| 12 | Racing Club Ferrol | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 13 | Real Aviles | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 5 |
| 14 | CD Coria | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | 5 |
| 15 | Barakaldo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 16 | CD Extremadura | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 17 | AD Merida | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:11 | 3 |
| 18 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:12 | 3 |
| 19 | UD Ourense | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:9 | 1 |
| 20 | Arenas Getxo | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:13 | 1 |
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
