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Luis Angel Firpo vs Alajuelense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Central American Cup Estadio Jorge Gonzalez, San Salvador
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Vasquez Velasquez L. S.
Assist: Ortez D.
46'
Sub
Lucumi J. In: Hernandez A.
Out: Lucumi J.
46'
Sub
Perez C. In: Zaldivar A.
Out: Perez C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Luis Angel Firpo
30%
Draws
27%
Alajuelense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Luis Angel Firpo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • Luis Angel Firpo haven't matched Alajuelense's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Alajuelense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Alajuelense, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Luis Angel Firpo Clean Sheet 17%
Alajuelense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luis Angel Firpo Alajuelense
Matches Played 25 27
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.48 1.74
Goals Conceded 1 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.99 1.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Luis Angel Firpo vs Alajuelense
1:0
Aug 8, 2024 CONCACAF Central American Cup
Luis Angel Firpo vs Alajuelense
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luis Angel Firpo Compare

Top Goalscorer Vasquez Velasquez L. S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.76
Avg xA / game 0.49

Alajuelense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.29
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luis Angel Firpo 36 / 100
Alajuelense 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luis Angel Firpo Alajuelense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alajuelense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Luis Angel Firpo scored in 80% of their last 25 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Luis Angel Firpo has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Alajuelense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Luis Angel Firpo VS Alajuelense
1.13 Goals Scored 1.71
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.86
75% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Luis Angel Firpo

(Home)
04 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
01 Oct
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 3
Luis Angel Firpo
27 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 0
Aguila
24 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 0
Cacahuatique
20 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
3 : 1
Atletico Balboa
Page 1 of 5

Alajuelense

(Away)
20 Sept
Alajuelense
5 : 0
Inter San Carlos
18 Sept
Alajuelense
3 : 1
Marathon
14 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 1
Alajuelense
11 Sept
Marathon
2 : 2
Alajuelense
06 Sept
Alajuelense
0 : 2
Saprissa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alajuelense 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Luis Angel Firpo 4 2 1 1 7:3 7
3 Plaza Amador 4 2 0 2 10:10 6
4 Xelaju 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
5 Diriangen 4 1 0 3 5:11 3
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 4 3 0 1 5:4 9
2 Marathon 4 2 1 1 6:1 7
3 Herediano 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
4 Esteli 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
5 Antigua 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia 4 4 0 0 9:3 12
2 Saprissa 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
3 Deportivo Mixco 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
4 Alianza 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
5 UMECIT 4 0 0 4 3:9 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cartagines 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
2 Motagua 4 2 2 0 8:2 8
3 Municipal 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
4 FAS 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
5 Verdes 4 0 0 4 1:14 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Central American Cup (Play Offs)