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Luis Angel Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Vasquez Velasquez L. S.
29' Event
Garcia V.
63' Event
Garcia V.

AI Match Summary

Luis Angel Firpo in this Primera Division matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luis Angel Firpo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Luis Angel Firpo
35%
Draws
23%
Fuerte San Francisco
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Luis Angel Firpo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Fuerte San Francisco haven't matched Luis Angel Firpo's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Luis Angel Firpo taking it.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Luis Angel Firpo have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Luis Angel Firpo Clean Sheet 68%
Fuerte San Francisco Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luis Angel Firpo Fuerte San Francisco
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 15 4
Draws 8 10
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.59 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2026 Primera Division
Fuerte San Francisco vs Luis Angel Firpo
0:3
Jul 30, 2026 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco
4:0
Apr 5, 2026 Primera Division
Fuerte San Francisco vs Luis Angel Firpo
0:2
Feb 8, 2026 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs Fuerte San Francisco
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 Primera Division
Fuerte San Francisco vs Luis Angel Firpo
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luis Angel Firpo Compare

Top Goalscorer Vasquez Velasquez L. S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia V.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Fuerte San Francisco Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luis Angel Firpo 86 / 100
Fuerte San Francisco 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luis Angel Firpo Fuerte San Francisco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luis Angel Firpo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Luis Angel Firpo scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Fuerte San Francisco has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Recent resilience: Luis Angel Firpo stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Luis Angel Firpo VS Fuerte San Francisco
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Luis Angel Firpo

(Home)
11 Oct
Municipal Limeno
2 : 3
Luis Angel Firpo
04 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
01 Oct
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 3
Luis Angel Firpo
27 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 0
Aguila
24 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 0
Cacahuatique
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Fuerte San Francisco

(Away)
10 Oct
Fuerte San Francisco
2 : 1
Cacahuatique
04 Oct
Inter Santa Tecla
1 : 1
Fuerte San Francisco
01 Oct
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 3
Luis Angel Firpo
27 Sept
Platense Municipal
0 : 0
Fuerte San Francisco
24 Sept
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Fuerte San Francisco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FAS 14 9 3 2 25:12 30
2 Luis Angel Firpo 14 8 4 2 26:11 28
3 Metapan 14 8 2 4 20:15 26
4 Aguila 15 6 5 4 25:18 23
5 Inter Santa Tecla 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
6 Platense Municipal 15 5 4 6 19:20 19
7 Alianza FC 13 4 6 3 20:19 18
8 Municipal Limeno 15 5 2 8 21:22 17
9 Inca Aruba 15 4 4 7 13:27 16
10 Atletico Balboa 15 3 4 8 15:23 13
11 Fuerte San Francisco 15 2 6 7 11:24 12
12 Cacahuatique 15 2 5 8 15:26 11
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)