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Luis Angel Firpo vs Metapan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Segovia M.
70' Event
Haberkorn F.
85' Event
Ortez D.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division game between Luis Angel Firpo and Metapan finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Metapan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Luis Angel Firpo
30%
Draws
38%
Metapan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Metapan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Luis Angel Firpo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Luis Angel Firpo's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Luis Angel Firpo Clean Sheet 20%
Metapan Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luis Angel Firpo Metapan
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 14 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.48 1.22
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs Metapan
1:2
May 10, 2026 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs Metapan
1:1
May 7, 2026 Primera Division
Metapan vs Luis Angel Firpo
1:2
Apr 16, 2026 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs Metapan
0:2
Feb 19, 2026 Primera Division
Metapan vs Luis Angel Firpo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luis Angel Firpo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Metapan Compare

Top Goalscorer Segovia M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Haberkorn F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luis Angel Firpo 42 / 100
Metapan 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luis Angel Firpo Metapan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luis Angel Firpo went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Luis Angel Firpo's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Metapan has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Luis Angel Firpo VS Metapan
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Luis Angel Firpo

(Home)
04 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
01 Oct
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 3
Luis Angel Firpo
27 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 0
Aguila
24 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 0
Cacahuatique
20 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
3 : 1
Atletico Balboa
Page 1 of 6

Metapan

(Away)
03 Oct
Metapan
3 : 2
Atletico Balboa
27 Sept
Metapan
2 : 0
Cacahuatique
19 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
0 : 0
Metapan
13 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
1 : 2
Metapan
09 Sept
Platense Municipal
1 : 2
Metapan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luis Angel Firpo 14 8 4 2 26:11 28
2 FAS 13 8 3 2 24:12 27
3 Metapan 13 8 2 3 20:12 26
4 Inter Santa Tecla 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
5 Aguila 14 5 5 4 22:18 20
6 Platense Municipal 15 5 4 6 19:20 19
7 Alianza FC 13 4 6 3 20:19 18
8 Municipal Limeno 15 5 2 8 21:22 17
9 Inca Aruba 15 4 4 7 13:27 16
10 Atletico Balboa 14 3 4 7 15:22 13
11 Fuerte San Francisco 15 2 6 7 11:24 12
12 Cacahuatique 15 2 5 8 15:26 11
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)