Sport Picks
Lumezzane vs Folgore Caratese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie C - Group A Tullio Saleri, Lumezzane 
Match Events
5'
5'
Di Dio F.
Assist: D'Amico F.
10'
10'
D'Amico F.
15'
15'
Ndiaye M.
AI Match Summary
Folgore Caratese in this Serie C - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Folgore Caratese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lumezzane
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Folgore Caratese haven't matched Lumezzane's recent run of results.
- Model gives Lumezzane a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Lumezzane here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Lumezzane Clean Sheet 19%
Folgore Caratese Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lumezzane | Folgore Caratese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.96 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Folgore Caratese
1:2
Jan 8, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Lumezzane vs Folgore Caratese
3:0
Sep 4, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Folgore Caratese vs Lumezzane
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lumezzane Compare
Top Goalscorer Anatriello G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Folgore Caratese Compare
Top Goalscorer Di Dio F.
1 Goals Assists Leader D'Amico F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lumezzane 42 / 100
Folgore Caratese 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lumezzane Folgore Caratese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Lumezzane scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Folgore Caratese conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
Lumezzane went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lumezzane VS Folgore Caratese
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Lumezzane
(Home) 10 Oct
Lumezzane
3 : 2 AlbinoLeffe
03 Oct
Inter
2 : 0 Lumezzane
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2 Folgore Caratese
21 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2 Lumezzane
17 Sept
Lumezzane
0 : 0 Novara
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Lumezzane
3 : 2 AlbinoLeffe
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2 Folgore Caratese
17 Sept
Lumezzane
0 : 0 Novara
13 Sept
Lumezzane
2 : 2 Renate
30 Aug
Lumezzane
1 : 0 Giana Erminio
Page 1 of 4
Folgore Caratese
(Away) 03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2 Folgore Caratese
20 Sept
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Giana Erminio
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3 Alcione Milano
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2 Folgore Caratese
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
07 Sept
Pro Vercelli
1 : 0 Folgore Caratese
31 Aug
Novara
2 : 2 Folgore Caratese
16 Aug
Giana Erminio
2 : 1 Folgore Caratese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 21 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 3 | Ospitaletto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 15 |
| 4 | Arzignano | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 5 | Trento | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 6 | Treviso | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:6 | 13 |
| 7 | AlbinoLeffe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 9 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 10 | Desenzano Calvina | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 11 | Novara | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 12 | Pro Vercelli | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:13 | 9 |
| 13 | Lecco | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | 9 |
| 14 | Lumezzane | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 15 | Pergolettese | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3:5 | 8 |
| 16 | Carpi | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:17 | 6 |
| 17 | Folgore Caratese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | 6 |
| 18 | Juventus U23 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:13 | 6 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6:10 | 4 |
| 20 | Renate | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)
