Sport Picks
Match Events
21'
21'
Ranieri R.
22'
22'
Sub
Ranieri R. In: Arboscello R.
Out: Ranieri R.
40'
40'
Zuppel D.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group A game between Lumezzane and Novara finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Novara come out ahead of Lumezzane on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Lumezzane's way, sitting at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Lumezzane Clean Sheet 20%
Novara Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lumezzane | Novara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 17, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Novara
0:0
Apr 3, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Novara vs Lumezzane
1:3
Nov 29, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Novara
1:1
Apr 11, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Novara
2:2
Dec 1, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Novara vs Lumezzane
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lumezzane 42 / 100
Novara 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lumezzane Novara
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Lumezzane scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Novara has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Lumezzane went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lumezzane VS Novara
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Lumezzane
(Home) 03 Oct
Inter
2 : 0 Lumezzane
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2 Folgore Caratese
21 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2 Lumezzane
17 Sept
Lumezzane
0 : 0 Novara
13 Sept
Lumezzane
2 : 2 Renate
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2 Folgore Caratese
17 Sept
Lumezzane
0 : 0 Novara
13 Sept
Lumezzane
2 : 2 Renate
30 Aug
Lumezzane
1 : 0 Giana Erminio
15 Aug
Lumezzane
2 : 3 Renate
Page 1 of 3
Novara
(Away) 04 Oct
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2 Novara
26 Sept
Novara
0 : 2 Ospitaletto
20 Sept
Novara
2 : 2 Carpi
17 Sept
Lumezzane
0 : 0 Novara
13 Sept
Novara
0 : 1 Pergolettese
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2 Novara
17 Sept
Lumezzane
0 : 0 Novara
07 Sept
Renate
1 : 2 Novara
22 Aug
Juventus U23
1 : 0 Novara
16 Aug
Alcione Milano
0 : 1 Novara
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 21 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 14:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Ospitaletto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 15 |
| 4 | Arzignano | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 5 | Trento | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 6 | Treviso | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:6 | 13 |
| 7 | AlbinoLeffe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 9 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 10 | Desenzano Calvina | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 11 | Novara | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 12 | Pro Vercelli | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 13 | Lecco | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | 9 |
| 14 | Lumezzane | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 15 | Pergolettese | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3:5 | 8 |
| 16 | Carpi | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:17 | 6 |
| 17 | Folgore Caratese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | 6 |
| 18 | Juventus U23 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:13 | 6 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6:10 | 4 |
| 20 | Renate | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)
