Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Anelli N.
Assist: Karlsson O.
30'
30'
Cali M.
45'
45'
Ghillani A.
Assist: Ebone T.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group A matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
35%
24%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lumezzane
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Renate have won more games recently than Lumezzane.
- Lumezzane are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Lumezzane Clean Sheet 68%
Renate Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lumezzane | Renate |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Renate
2:2
Aug 15, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Lumezzane vs Renate
2:3
Mar 7, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Renate vs Lumezzane
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Renate
0:0
Mar 16, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Renate
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lumezzane Compare
Top Goalscorer Ghillani A.
1 Goals Assists Leader D'Agostino S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Renate Compare
Top Goalscorer Anelli N.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lumezzane 59 / 100
Renate 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lumezzane Renate
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lumezzane Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Lumezzane scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Renate has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Lumezzane went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lumezzane VS Renate
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Lumezzane
(Home) 03 Oct
Inter
2 : 0 Lumezzane
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2 Folgore Caratese
21 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 2 Lumezzane
17 Sept
Lumezzane
0 : 0 Novara
13 Sept
Lumezzane
2 : 2 Renate
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Lumezzane
1 : 2 Folgore Caratese
17 Sept
Lumezzane
0 : 0 Novara
13 Sept
Lumezzane
2 : 2 Renate
30 Aug
Lumezzane
1 : 0 Giana Erminio
15 Aug
Lumezzane
2 : 3 Renate
Page 1 of 3
Renate
(Away) 03 Oct
Ospitaletto
1 : 1 Renate
27 Sept
Renate
0 : 1 Treviso
20 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 1 Renate
17 Sept
Renate
0 : 0 Dolomiti Bellunesi
13 Sept
Lumezzane
2 : 2 Renate
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Ospitaletto
1 : 1 Renate
20 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 1 Renate
13 Sept
Lumezzane
2 : 2 Renate
03 Sept
Cittadella
4 : 1 Renate
21 Aug
Alcione Milano
3 : 1 Renate
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 21 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 14:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Ospitaletto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 15 |
| 4 | Arzignano | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 5 | Trento | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 6 | Treviso | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:6 | 13 |
| 7 | AlbinoLeffe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 9 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 10 | Desenzano Calvina | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 11 | Novara | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 12 | Pro Vercelli | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 13 | Lecco | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | 9 |
| 14 | Lumezzane | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 15 | Pergolettese | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3:5 | 8 |
| 16 | Carpi | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:17 | 6 |
| 17 | Folgore Caratese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | 6 |
| 18 | Juventus U23 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:13 | 6 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6:10 | 4 |
| 20 | Renate | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)
