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Lumezzane W vs Trastevere Calcio W

Italy Italy

Serie B Women Tullio Saleri
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lumezzane W play Trastevere Calcio W in the Serie B Women. Lumezzane W are favorites here. Recently, Lumezzane W averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1 conceded. Trastevere Calcio W averaged 0.89 goals scored and 1.96 conceded. In past meetings, Lumezzane W won 2, Trastevere Calcio W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 22, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Lumezzane W and 0.94 for Trastevere Calcio W. This points to a Lumezzane W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Lumezzane W
17%
Draws
13%
Trastevere Calcio W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Lumezzane W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Lumezzane W picked up more points recently compared to Trastevere Calcio W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Lumezzane W Clean Sheet 24%
Trastevere Calcio W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lumezzane W Trastevere Calcio W
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 20 4
Draws 5 5
Losses 5 19
Goals Scored 1.9 0.89
Goals Conceded 1 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Serie B Women
Lumezzane W vs Trastevere Calcio W
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Serie B Women
Trastevere Calcio W vs Lumezzane W
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lumezzane W 68 / 100
Trastevere Calcio W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lumezzane W Trastevere Calcio W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lumezzane W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Lumezzane W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.7%
1.61
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lumezzane W attacking → ← attacking Trastevere Calcio W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lumezzane W scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Trastevere Calcio W let in goals in 96% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Lumezzane W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Trastevere Calcio W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

65 Points in last 5 17
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Como 1907 W26223172:2069
2Lumezzane W26184452:2458
3Cesena W26172763:3353
4Bologna W26134950:3843
5Freedom W26119650:4342
6RES Roma W26126852:4342
7Frosinone W26961136:4333
8Vicenza W26961133:3633
9Brescia W26951237:4332
10Arezzo W26851329:4329
11San Marino Academy W26841435:5428
12Hellas Verona W26471528:4819
13Venezia W26441830:7116
14Trastevere Calcio W26351822:5014