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Luminense vs Americano Bacabal

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Luminense in this Maranhense 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luminense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Luminense
20%
Draws
40%
Americano Bacabal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Luminense lately — more wins on the board than Americano Bacabal.
  • Luminense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Maranhense 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Luminense Clean Sheet 20%
Americano Bacabal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luminense Americano Bacabal
Matches Played 16 23
Wins 9 4
Draws 3 3
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 1.19 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.5 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2025 Maranhense 2
Luminense vs Americano Bacabal
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luminense 85 / 100
Americano Bacabal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luminense Americano Bacabal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luminense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Americano Bacabal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 23 matches.

Attacking prowess: Luminense scored in 63% of their last 16 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Americano Bacabal registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Luminense VS Americano Bacabal
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Luminense

(Home)
01 Feb
Maranhao
1 : 0
Luminense
28 Jan
ITZ Sport
0 : 2
Luminense
25 Jan
Sampaio Correa
1 : 1
Luminense
22 Jan
Luminense
0 : 1
IAPE
18 Jan
Luminense
0 : 3
Moto Club
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Americano Bacabal

(Away)
02 Jul
Sao Luis
3 : 0
Americano Bacabal
24 Jun
Americano Bacabal
2 : 2
Tupan
21 Jun
Americano Bacabal
1 : 0
Sao Jose (MA)
10 Jun
Araioses
3 : 0
Americano Bacabal
01 Jun
Americano Bacabal
0 : 1
Expressinho
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luminense 4 3 1 0 9:1 10
2 Sao Luis 4 2 1 1 13:4 7
3 Americano Bacabal 4 2 0 2 5:9 6
4 Tupan 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
5 Expressinho 4 0 0 4 2:17 0
Promotion - Maranhense 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lago Verde 4 3 1 0 10:4 10
2 Timon EC (MA) 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
3 Sao Jose (MA) 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
Promotion - Maranhense 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ITZ Sport 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
2 Cordino EC 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
3 Balsas 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
Promotion - Maranhense 2 2025 (Play Offs)