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Luminense vs Sao Luis

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2 2025
Sun, Oct 19, 2025
2 - 0
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Luminense in this Maranhense 2 2025 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Luminense
20%
Draws
51%
Sao Luis
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sao Luis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sao Luis have won more games recently than Luminense.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Sao Luis taking it.
  • Sao Luis arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Luminense, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Luminense have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Luminense Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Luis Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luminense Sao Luis
Matches Played 16 25
Wins 9 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 1.19 2.04
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Maranhense 2
Luminense vs Sao Luis
2:0
Oct 15, 2025 Maranhense 2
Sao Luis vs Luminense
1:0
Oct 1, 2025 Maranhense 2
Luminense vs Sao Luis
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luminense 24 / 100
Sao Luis 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luminense Sao Luis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Luis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luminense's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sao Luis conceded in 68% of 25 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Luminense has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Luminense VS Sao Luis
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Luminense

(Home)
01 Feb
Maranhao
1 : 0
Luminense
28 Jan
ITZ Sport
0 : 2
Luminense
25 Jan
Sampaio Correa
1 : 1
Luminense
22 Jan
Luminense
0 : 1
IAPE
18 Jan
Luminense
0 : 3
Moto Club
Page 1 of 4

Sao Luis

(Away)
15 Jul
Sao Luis
0 : 1
Pinheiro
11 Jul
Pinheiro
1 : 1
Sao Luis
02 Jul
Sao Luis
3 : 0
Americano Bacabal
27 Jun
Sao Jose (MA)
0 : 2
Sao Luis
17 Jun
Sao Luis
0 : 1
Araioses
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Cordino EC 2
Sao Luis 3
Timon EC (MA) 0
Luminense 1
Americano Bacabal 1
ITZ Sport 4
Tupan 1
Lago Verde 6
Semi-finals
Sao Luis 1
Luminense 2
ITZ Sport 3
Lago Verde 2
Final
Luminense 1
ITZ Sport 0