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Lumwana Radiants vs Forest Rangers

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Mugalu C.
90' Event
Mukanda B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Lumwana Radiants
33%
Draws
40%
Forest Rangers
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Forest Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Forest Rangers haven't matched Lumwana Radiants's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Forest Rangers a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 12%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Lumwana Radiants Clean Sheet 27%
Forest Rangers Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lumwana Radiants Forest Rangers
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 6 14
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.63 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2025 Super League
Lumwana Radiants vs Forest Rangers
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Super League
Forest Rangers vs Lumwana Radiants
2:1
Apr 22, 2023 Super League
Forest Rangers vs Lumwana Radiants
2:0
Nov 16, 2022 Super League
Lumwana Radiants vs Forest Rangers
1:2
Apr 21, 2021 Super League
Lumwana Radiants vs Forest Rangers
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lumwana Radiants Compare

Top Goalscorer Mukanda B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Forest Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer Mugalu C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lumwana Radiants 30 / 100
Forest Rangers 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lumwana Radiants Forest Rangers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forest Rangers has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Lumwana Radiants scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Lumwana Radiants remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lumwana Radiants VS Forest Rangers
0.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Power Dynamos34208654:2268
2Zesco341712534:2063
3Nkana341610848:2958
4Red Arrows341511832:2456
5Kabwe341312938:2751
6Nkwazi341214831:2650
7Green Buffaloes FC3411121134:3545
8Mufulira Wanderers341361530:3145
9NAPSA Stars34917824:2244
10Muza Fc3411111233:3444
11Nchanga Rangers349151029:2842
12Green Eagles349141132:3441
13Mutondo Stars3410111326:3441
14Zanaco349121334:4139
15Atletico Lusaka341091527:4639
16Forest Rangers347171031:3438
17Lumwana Radiants341071721:3637
18Indeni34362520:5515