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Lumwana Radiants vs Nchanga Rangers

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Lubasi C.
64' Event
Tembo P.
87' Event
Sichande W.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2024/2025 game between Lumwana Radiants and Nchanga Rangers finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lumwana Radiants.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lumwana Radiants
30%
Draws
34%
Nchanga Rangers
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lumwana Radiants

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nchanga Rangers come out ahead of Lumwana Radiants on wins alone.
  • Lumwana Radiants are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Super League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Lumwana Radiants Clean Sheet 68%
Nchanga Rangers Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lumwana Radiants Nchanga Rangers
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2025 Super League
Lumwana Radiants vs Nchanga Rangers
2:1
Aug 28, 2024 Super League
Nchanga Rangers vs Lumwana Radiants
4:0
Apr 1, 2023 Super League
Nchanga Rangers vs Lumwana Radiants
1:1
Nov 5, 2022 Super League
Lumwana Radiants vs Nchanga Rangers
1:1
Oct 27, 2018 Super League
Nchanga Rangers vs Lumwana Radiants
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lumwana Radiants Compare

Top Goalscorer Lubasi C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tembo P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Nchanga Rangers Compare

Top Goalscorer Sichande W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lumwana Radiants 46 / 100
Nchanga Rangers 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lumwana Radiants Nchanga Rangers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Lumwana Radiants's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Nchanga Rangers conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Lumwana Radiants stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nchanga Rangers
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Power Dynamos34208654:2268
2Zesco341712534:2063
3Nkana341610848:2958
4Red Arrows341511832:2456
5Kabwe341312938:2751
6Nkwazi341214831:2650
7Green Buffaloes FC3411121134:3545
8Mufulira Wanderers341361530:3145
9NAPSA Stars34917824:2244
10Muza Fc3411111233:3444
11Nchanga Rangers349151029:2842
12Green Eagles349141132:3441
13Mutondo Stars3410111326:3441
14Zanaco349121334:4139
15Atletico Lusaka341091527:4639
16Forest Rangers347171031:3438
17Lumwana Radiants341071721:3637
18Indeni34362520:5515