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Lun Lok vs Cheng Fung

Macao Macao

Elite League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Wong C.
83' Event
Fong K. W.
89' Event
Joao Artur

AI Match Summary

Lun Lok host Cheng Fung in the Elite League 2025. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Lun Lok have averaged 0 scored and 3 conceded recently, against Cheng Fung's 1.38 scored and 2.63 conceded. Past meetings favor Cheng Fung slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2025, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.92 vs 2.19, favoring Cheng Fung. Cheng Fung in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Lun Lok
6%
Draws
90%
Cheng Fung
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cheng Fung

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cheng Fung has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Lun Lok.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Cheng Fung.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Elite League 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Lun Lok Clean Sheet 10%
Cheng Fung Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lun Lok Cheng Fung
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 10
Draws 2 10
Losses 24 12
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 3 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2025 Elite League
Lun Lok vs Cheng Fung
1:2
Jul 27, 2024 Elite League
Lun Lok vs Cheng Fung
0:6
Jun 16, 2024 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Lun Lok
2:2
Apr 6, 2024 Elite League
Lun Lok vs Cheng Fung
1:3
May 14, 2023 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Lun Lok
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lun Lok Compare

Top Goalscorer Fong K. W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Cheng Fung Compare

Top Goalscorer Wong C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joao Artur
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lun Lok 10 / 100
Cheng Fung 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lun Lok Cheng Fung

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lun Lok scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Cheng Fung let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Lun Lok went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Cheng Fung lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lun Lok VS Cheng Fung
0 Goals Scored 1.38
3 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Must IPO972039:523
2Shao Jiang971144:622
3University of Macau961225:1019
4Cheng Fung954018:719
5Benfica951319:1416
6Chiba931519:2610
7Gala923417:189
8Hang Sai921617:267
9Lun Lok910810:403
10Sporting Macau90091:570