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Lun Lok vs Monte Carlo Prediction & H2H Stats

Macao Macao

Elite League 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Kaique Y.
30' Event
Vong C.
45' Event
Almeida H.

AI Match Summary

Lun Lok in this Elite League 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lun Lok.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Lun Lok
15%
Draws
85%
Monte Carlo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monte Carlo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Monte Carlo have won more games recently than Lun Lok.
  • Win probability leans Monte Carlo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Monte Carlo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Lun Lok Clean Sheet 10%
Monte Carlo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lun Lok Monte Carlo
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 15
Draws 2 4
Losses 25 11
Goals Scored 1.13 2.3
Goals Conceded 5.28 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2024 Elite League
Lun Lok vs Monte Carlo
3:1
Jun 4, 2023 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Lun Lok
11:0
Mar 18, 2023 Elite League
Lun Lok vs Monte Carlo
0:7
Apr 23, 2022 Elite League
Lun Lok vs Monte Carlo
1:3
Jan 16, 2022 Elite League
Monte Carlo vs Lun Lok
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lun Lok Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaique Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Almeida H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Monte Carlo Compare

Top Goalscorer Vong C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lun Lok 10 / 100
Monte Carlo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lun Lok Monte Carlo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monte Carlo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.40 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Monte Carlo conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Lun Lok's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Away concern: Monte Carlo has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lun Lok VS Monte Carlo
1 Goals Scored 1
3.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lun Lok

(Home)
27 Jul
Chiba
3 : 0
Lun Lok
19 Jul
Hang Sai
12 : 0
Lun Lok
12 Jul
Lun Lok
1 : 2
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Lun Lok
0 : 10
Gala
21 Jun
Lun Lok
1 : 9
Chiba
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Monte Carlo

(Away)
03 Aug
University of Macau
2 : 1
Monte Carlo
19 Jul
Monte Carlo
1 : 1
Gala
14 Jul
Monte Carlo
2 : 0
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Monte Carlo
8 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
22 Jun
Monte Carlo
1 : 2
University of Macau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Must IPO 9 8 1 0 49:2 25
2 Benfica 9 8 0 1 37:8 24
3 Cheng Fung 9 6 2 1 18:6 20
4 Hang Sai 9 4 1 4 16:22 13
5 Lun Lok 9 4 1 4 20:28 13
6 University of Macau 9 4 1 4 14:18 13
7 Monte Carlo 9 3 1 5 10:15 10
8 Gala 9 2 1 6 17:17 7
9 Tak Chun Ka I 9 1 0 8 10:44 3
10 Sporting Macau 9 0 2 7 8:39 2
Promotion - Elite League 2024 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Elite League 2024 (Relegation Group)