Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lunds Bois vs AFC Malmo

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Klostergardens Idrottsplats, Lund
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Awad A.
40' Event
Reuterskiold A.
45' Event
Awad A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Södra game between Lunds Bois and AFC Malmo finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AFC Malmo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Lunds Bois
35%
Draws
24%
AFC Malmo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lunds Bois

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • AFC Malmo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lunds Bois a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Lunds Bois Clean Sheet 17%
AFC Malmo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lunds Bois AFC Malmo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.89 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Lunds Bois
2:5
Jun 12, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Lunds Bois vs AFC Malmo
1:4
Mar 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Lunds Bois vs AFC Malmo
1:3
Oct 3, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Lunds Bois
0:1
Apr 28, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
Lunds Bois vs AFC Malmo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lunds Bois Compare

Top Goalscorer Mehmedagic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

AFC Malmo Compare

Top Goalscorer Awad A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Reuterskiold A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lunds Bois 84 / 100
AFC Malmo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lunds Bois AFC Malmo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lunds Bois Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lunds Bois's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

AFC Malmo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Lunds Bois stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lunds Bois VS AFC Malmo
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lunds Bois

(Home)
19 Sept
Atvidaberg
1 : 0
Lunds Bois
16 Sept
Lunds Bois
2 : 0
Angelholm
11 Sept
Lunds Bois
2 : 0
Rosengard
05 Sept
Utsikten
1 : 1
Lunds Bois
28 Aug
Lunds Bois
7 : 1
Olympic
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AFC Malmo

(Away)
19 Sept
AFC Malmo
3 : 1
Utsikten
16 Sept
Hassleholms IF
2 : 0
AFC Malmo
12 Sept
Tvaaker
0 : 0
AFC Malmo
05 Sept
AFC Malmo
2 : 2
Atvidaberg
30 Aug
Laholms
2 : 2
AFC Malmo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 22 13 6 3 48:27 45
2 Hassleholms IF 22 13 3 6 43:26 42
3 Atvidaberg 23 12 6 5 46:33 42
4 Lunds Bois 23 11 8 4 46:27 41
5 AFC Malmo 23 9 8 6 42:34 35
6 Rosengard 22 9 7 6 38:32 34
7 Tvaaker 22 9 6 7 30:32 33
8 Trollhattan 22 8 7 7 36:34 31
9 Jonkoping 22 8 6 8 26:20 30
10 Olympic 22 9 2 11 39:43 29
11 Eskilsminne 22 8 4 10 36:40 28
12 Skovde 22 6 9 7 24:32 27
13 Laholms 22 6 4 12 28:38 22
14 Kristianstad 22 5 6 11 25:34 21
15 Angelholm 22 3 8 11 25:41 17
16 Utsikten 23 1 6 16 18:57 9
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)