Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lunds Bois vs Skovde

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Klostergardens Idrottsplats, Lund
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Nilsson A.
45' Event
Mehmedagic A.
46'
Sub
Strom E. In: Olofsson E.
Out: Strom E.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Södra game between Lunds Bois and Skovde finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lunds Bois.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Lunds Bois
15%
Draws
48%
Skovde
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Skovde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lunds Bois come out ahead of Skovde on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lunds Bois a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Lunds Bois Clean Sheet 17%
Skovde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lunds Bois Skovde
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.86 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Skovde vs Lunds Bois
1:1
Jun 27, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Lunds Bois vs Skovde
2:1
Oct 11, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
Skovde vs Lunds Bois
1:0
Jun 19, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
Lunds Bois vs Skovde
3:0
Oct 2, 2021 Division 1 - Södra
Lunds Bois vs Skovde
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lunds Bois Compare

Top Goalscorer Nilsson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mehmedagic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Skovde Compare

Top Goalscorer Agerborn M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lunds Bois 41 / 100
Skovde 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lunds Bois Skovde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lunds Bois scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Skovde's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Lunds Bois went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lunds Bois VS Skovde
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lunds Bois

(Home)
25 Sept
Lunds Bois
0 : 1
Kristianstad
19 Sept
Atvidaberg
1 : 0
Lunds Bois
16 Sept
Lunds Bois
2 : 0
Angelholm
11 Sept
Lunds Bois
2 : 0
Rosengard
05 Sept
Utsikten
1 : 1
Lunds Bois
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Skovde

(Away)
26 Sept
Skovde
2 : 1
Olympic
21 Sept
Jonkoping
3 : 2
Skovde
17 Sept
Skovde
1 : 3
Trollhattan
12 Sept
Angelholm
0 : 3
Skovde
06 Sept
Skovde
2 : 1
Trelleborg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 23 14 6 3 49:27 48
2 Atvidaberg 24 13 6 5 48:34 45
3 Hassleholms IF 24 13 3 8 44:29 42
4 Lunds Bois 24 11 8 5 46:28 41
5 Rosengard 24 10 8 6 41:34 38
6 Trollhattan 24 10 7 7 41:36 37
7 AFC Malmo 23 9 8 6 42:34 35
8 Jonkoping 24 9 6 9 29:25 33
9 Tvaaker 24 9 6 9 32:37 33
10 Olympic 24 9 3 12 41:46 30
11 Skovde 24 7 9 8 28:36 30
12 Eskilsminne 23 8 5 10 38:42 29
13 Kristianstad 24 7 6 11 29:36 27
14 Laholms 24 6 4 14 31:43 22
15 Angelholm 23 3 9 11 27:43 18
16 Utsikten 24 2 6 16 21:57 12
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)