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Lunds Bois vs Trelleborg Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Klostergardens Idrottsplats, Lund
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lunds Bois host Trelleborg in the Division 1 - Södra. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Trelleborg have shipped 1.3 goals a game lately, while Lunds Bois have conceded 1.24 and scored 1.83. Head-to-head, Lunds Bois have won 0 to Trelleborg's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Aug 2, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.94 - 1.44) back Trelleborg to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Lunds Bois
15%
Draws
54%
Trelleborg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Trelleborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Trelleborg lately — more wins on the board than Lunds Bois.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Södra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Lunds Bois Clean Sheet 16%
Trelleborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lunds Bois Trelleborg
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 12 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.83 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Trelleborg vs Lunds Bois
2:2
Aug 20, 2025 Svenska Cupen
Lunds Bois vs Trelleborg
2:3
Mar 7, 2025 Club Friendly
Lunds Bois vs Trelleborg
0:0
Mar 18, 2023 Club Friendly
Lunds Bois vs Trelleborg
1:2
Feb 26, 2020 Club Friendly
Lunds Bois vs Trelleborg
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lunds Bois 36 / 100
Trelleborg 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lunds Bois Trelleborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trelleborg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Lunds Bois's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Trelleborg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.

Solid form: Lunds Bois remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lunds Bois VS Trelleborg
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lunds Bois

(Home)
25 Sept
Lunds Bois
0 : 1
Kristianstad
19 Sept
Atvidaberg
1 : 0
Lunds Bois
16 Sept
Lunds Bois
2 : 0
Angelholm
11 Sept
Lunds Bois
2 : 0
Rosengard
05 Sept
Utsikten
1 : 1
Lunds Bois
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Trelleborg

(Away)
27 Sept
Trelleborg
4 : 1
Angelholm
20 Sept
Tvaaker
0 : 1
Trelleborg
17 Sept
Rosengard
3 : 4
Trelleborg
12 Sept
Trelleborg
2 : 1
Hassleholms IF
06 Sept
Skovde
2 : 1
Trelleborg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 24 15 6 3 53:28 51
2 Atvidaberg 24 13 6 5 48:34 45
3 Hassleholms IF 24 13 3 8 44:29 42
4 Lunds Bois 24 11 8 5 46:28 41
5 AFC Malmo 24 10 8 6 44:35 38
6 Rosengard 24 10 8 6 41:34 38
7 Trollhattan 24 10 7 7 41:36 37
8 Jonkoping 24 9 6 9 29:25 33
9 Tvaaker 24 9 6 9 32:37 33
10 Olympic 24 9 3 12 41:46 30
11 Skovde 24 7 9 8 28:36 30
12 Eskilsminne 24 8 5 11 39:44 29
13 Kristianstad 24 7 6 11 29:36 27
14 Laholms 24 6 4 14 31:43 22
15 Angelholm 24 3 9 12 28:47 18
16 Utsikten 24 2 6 16 21:57 12
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)