Sport Picks
Lupa Frascati vs Arezzo Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie D 2022/2023 
Match Events
5'
5'
Bramante S.
28'
28'
Gaddini M.
80'
80'
Marras D.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Arezzo advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
20%
30%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lupa Frascati
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Arezzo come out ahead of Lupa Frascati on wins alone.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Lupa Frascati taking it.
- Arezzo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Arezzo, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Lupa Frascati Clean Sheet 68%
Arezzo Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lupa Frascati | Arezzo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 9, 2022 Coppa Italia Serie D
Lupa Frascati vs Arezzo
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lupa Frascati Compare
Top Goalscorer Marras D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Arezzo Compare
Top Goalscorer Bramante S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gaddini M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lupa Frascati 95 / 100
Arezzo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lupa Frascati Arezzo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lupa Frascati Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lupa Frascati scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Arezzo has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Lupa Frascati remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Arezzo
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Lupa Frascati
(Home) 14 May
Paganese
3 : 2 Lupa Frascati
07 May
Lupa Frascati
3 : 1 Cassino
30 Apr
Sorrento
2 : 1 Lupa Frascati
23 Apr
Lupa Frascati
1 : 1 Paganese
16 Apr
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 0 Lupa Frascati
Page 1 of 6
07 May
Lupa Frascati
3 : 1 Cassino
23 Apr
Lupa Frascati
1 : 1 Paganese
06 Apr
Lupa Frascati
0 : 0 Ilvamaddalena
19 Mar
Lupa Frascati
2 : 0 Palmese 1914
05 Mar
Lupa Frascati
1 : 2 Angri
Page 1 of 3
Arezzo
(Away) 27 Sept
Lazio
2 : 0 Arezzo
20 Sept
Arezzo
1 : 4 Sudtirol
11 Sept
Empoli
0 : 1 Arezzo
06 Sept
Verona
5 : 0 Arezzo
30 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 3 Palermo
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Lazio
2 : 0 Arezzo
11 Sept
Empoli
0 : 1 Arezzo
06 Sept
Verona
5 : 0 Arezzo
22 Aug
Avellino
1 : 2 Arezzo
14 Aug
Cagliari
1 : 0 Arezzo
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Chisola 1
Bra 3
Ligorna 2
Sestri Levante 1
Casale 0
Derthona FbC 1
Crema 2
Ciserano-Bergamo 1
Franciacorta 3
Breno 1
Varesina 0
Varese FC 1
Arconatese 3
Caronnese 0
Giana Erminio 2
Alcione Milano 1
Cjarlins Muzane 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 2
Clodiense 2
Legnago Salus 1
Caldiero Terme 1
Montebelluna 2
Este 1
Adriese 3
Carpi 1
United Riccione 2
G.S. Bagnolese 3
Correggese 2
Seravezza Pozzi 3
Pistoiese 0
Prato 1
Poggibonsi 0
Lupa Frascati 1
Arezzo 2
Sporting Trestina 0
Orvietana 2
Porto D'Ascoli 1
Pineto 2
US Tolentino 2
Fano 1
Arzachena 0
Sarrabus Ogliastra 1
Roma City 0
Tivoli Calcio 3
Trastevere Calcio 2
Flaminia 1
Puteolana Internapoli 1
Molfetta Calcio 0
Cavese 2
Vastogirardi 1
Citta di Fasano 0
Altamura 1
Casertana 3
Real Normanna 2
Francavilla 1
Lavello 0
Nocerina 3
Portici 1906 4
Lamezia Terme 3
Cittanovese 0
AS Acireale 2
Paterno 0
S. Agata 1
Trapani 2
1/16-finals
Bra 2
Ligorna 0
Derthona FbC 1
Crema 2
Franciacorta 0
Varese FC 1
Arconatese 1
Giana Erminio 3
Dolomiti Bellunesi 0
Clodiense 1
Montebelluna 1
Adriese 2
United Riccione 3
G.S. Bagnolese 1
Seravezza Pozzi 2
Prato 3
Arezzo 2
Orvietana 1
Pineto 5
US Tolentino 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra 1
Tivoli Calcio 0
Trastevere Calcio 0
Puteolana Internapoli 1
Cavese 2
Altamura 0
Casertana 0
Francavilla 2
Portici 1906 1
Lamezia Terme 2
AS Acireale 0
Trapani 7
1/8-finals
Bra 1
Crema 3
Varese FC 0
Giana Erminio 2
Clodiense 0
Adriese 6
United Riccione 1
Prato 0
Arezzo 1
Pineto 2
Sarrabus Ogliastra 1
Puteolana Internapoli 2
Cavese 1
Francavilla 0
Lamezia Terme 2
Trapani 1
Quarter-finals
Crema 1
Giana Erminio 2
Adriese 3
United Riccione 1
Pineto 4
Puteolana Internapoli 1
Cavese 1
Lamezia Terme 2
Semi-finals
Giana Erminio 1
Adriese 0
Pineto 1
Lamezia Terme 0
Final
Giana Erminio 2
Pineto 4
