Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lupa Frascati vs Arzachena

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Senesi Y.
74' Event
Frosali F.

AI Match Summary

Lupa Frascati in this Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lupa Frascati.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Lupa Frascati
30%
Draws
51%
Arzachena
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arzachena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arzachena lately — more wins on the board than Lupa Frascati.
  • Model gives Arzachena a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Lupa Frascati Clean Sheet 16%
Arzachena Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lupa Frascati Arzachena
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.3 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Lupa Frascati vs Arzachena
2:0
Oct 2, 2022 Serie D - Group G
Arzachena vs Lupa Frascati
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lupa Frascati Compare

Top Goalscorer Senesi Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Frosali F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Arzachena Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lupa Frascati 15 / 100
Arzachena 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lupa Frascati Arzachena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arzachena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arzachena let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Lupa Frascati scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Lupa Frascati went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lupa Frascati VS Arzachena
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lupa Frascati

(Home)
14 May
Paganese
3 : 2
Lupa Frascati
07 May
Lupa Frascati
3 : 1
Cassino
30 Apr
Sorrento
2 : 1
Lupa Frascati
23 Apr
Lupa Frascati
1 : 1
Paganese
16 Apr
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 0
Lupa Frascati
Page 1 of 6

Arzachena

(Away)
14 May
Casertana
3 : 3
Arzachena
07 May
Arzachena
2 : 1
Ilvamaddalena
30 Apr
SS Nola 1925
1 : 2
Arzachena
23 Apr
Arzachena
3 : 0
Palmese 1914
16 Apr
Aprilia
1 : 3
Arzachena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorrento 34 21 7 6 53:28 70
2 Paganese 34 19 11 4 56:29 68
3 Casertana 34 17 7 10 57:40 58
4 Arzachena 34 17 6 11 51:40 57
5 Lupa Frascati 34 13 11 10 44:29 50
6 Palmese 1914 34 13 10 11 50:44 49
7 Cassino 34 13 8 13 42:45 47
8 Real Monterotondo 34 12 9 13 51:55 45
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 7 15 51:54 43
10 Tivoli Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:39 41
11 Vis Artena 34 9 14 11 24:28 41
12 Portici 1906 34 9 13 12 45:49 40
13 Angri 34 10 9 15 39:51 39
14 Atletico Uri 34 10 9 15 45:62 39
15 Ilvamaddalena 34 8 14 12 30:39 38
16 Pomezia 34 8 11 15 40:58 35
17 SS Nola 1925 34 8 11 15 44:55 35
18 Aprilia 34 8 10 16 34:47 34
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Out)